Prediction for match Newells Old Boys — Rosario Central

Match Analysis: Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central

In Argentina's Liga Profesional on March 1, Newells Old Boys will face Rosario Central. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Newells Old Boys is at 3.53, a draw is priced at 2.79, and a win for Rosario Central is offered at 2.35. In terms of probabilities: Newells Old Boys - 26.54%, draw - 33.58%, Rosario Central - 39.87%. Rosario Central seems the most likely winner based on the odds and percentages, but a draw is also a possibility considering the balance of power and frequent draws in similar matchups.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at possession stats, Newells Old Boys averages 46% over their last five matches, while Rosario Central averages 57.2%. In terms of yellow cards, Newells Old Boys receives 3 per game, Rosario Central 2. Fouls: Newells Old Boys commits 15.2, Rosario Central 12. Offsides: both teams average 1.4 per match. In their last three games, Newells Old Boys lost to Estudiantes 0-2 (25.02.2026), lost to Banfield 0-3 (21.02.2026), and drew with Deportivo Riestra 1-1 (16.02.2026). Rosario Central beat Gimnasia 2-1 (25.02.2026), lost to Talleres Cordoba 0-1 (21.02.2026), and defeated Barracas Central 2-0 (16.02.2026). In their last head-to-head on 23.08.2025, Rosario Central won 1-0 against Newells Old Boys.

Goals Statistics

In the last five matches, Newells Old Boys has an average total goals per match of 2.8, scoring 0.6 and conceding 2.2. Rosario Central averages 1.6 goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 0.6. For over 2.5 goals, Newells Old Boys went over in 2 out of 5, while Rosario Central did so in only 1 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals, Newells Old Boys has 3 out of 5 in the second half, and Rosario Central has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Newells Old Boys went over 1.5 only once in 5 games, while Rosario Central did not at all. Goal intervals show Newells Old Boys most frequently scores between 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), and concedes most often between 31-45 and 76-90 (33% each). Rosario Central scores most often at the end (76-90 minutes - 50%), and concedes evenly across intervals 0-15, 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75. With Newells Old Boys' low attacking output and Rosario Central's solid defense, betting on "Both teams to score: No" at 1.61 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Newells Old Boys averages 3.2 corners over 5 matches, while Rosario Central averages 5.6. For over 9.5 corners, Newells Old Boys didn't reach this mark in any of the five matches, whereas Rosario Central did so in 2 out of 5. Considering the total corners, the closest line to their combined average is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.70, under 8.5 at 1.63. In terms of corners, Rosario Central is favored with odds of 2.10. Given Rosario Central's higher corner count and both teams averaging around 9-10 corners, betting on over 8.5 corners seems logical for this match.