Prediction for match Newells Old Boys — San Lorenzo

Match Analysis: Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo

In the Argentine Professional League fixture, Newells Old Boys will face San Lorenzo on 12.04.2026. The odds for the main outcomes are quite balanced: a win for Newells Old Boys is at 2.68, a draw is priced at 2.77, and a victory for San Lorenzo is at 2.96. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Newells Old Boys - 34.81%, draw - 33.68%, San Lorenzo - 31.52%. There is no clear favorite according to the odds, but Newells Old Boys holds a slight edge in percentage terms. Betting options for totals and both teams to score are also available, but the odds for lower outcomes are significantly below the threshold for the main prediction.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Newells Old Boys achieved a 3-1 win over Central Cordoba de Santiago (05.04.2026), won 1-0 against Gimnasia M. (21.03.2026), and suffered a heavy 0-5 defeat to Lanus (17.03.2026). In their last three encounters, San Lorenzo drew 1-1 with Deportivo Recoleta (08.04.2026), defeated Estudiantes 1-0 (03.04.2026), and drew 1-1 with Deportivo Riestra (25.03.2026). Looking at the averages over a five-match span, Newells Old Boys holds possession 46.2% of the time, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 14.2 fouls, and is caught offside twice per game. San Lorenzo maintains 50% possession, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times. In their last head-to-head meeting on 27.07.2024, the teams played to a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Newells Old Boys exceeded the 2.5 goal total twice and stayed under three times. San Lorenzo only went over 2.5 goals once, with four matches going under. Both teams have an identical average of 2.8 goals per match. Newells Old Boys scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.8, while San Lorenzo scores 1.2 and concedes 1.6. In terms of halves, Newells Old Boys exceeded 1.5 goals in the second half three times out of five, and twice in the first half. San Lorenzo exceeded 1.5 goals twice in both the first and second halves. Newells Old Boys most frequently scores in the intervals of 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minutes (25% each), and concedes most often at the end (76-90 minutes - 50%). San Lorenzo scores most frequently at the start (0-15 minutes - 29%) and at the end (76-90 minutes - 29%), and concedes mainly between 61-75 minutes (38%). Considering San Lorenzo's low scoring streak and Newells Old Boys' modest average goals, betting on both teams not to score at odds of 1.57 seems justified. Neither team has a strong over-profile, and the occurrences of totals over 2.5 do not dominate.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Newells Old Boys earns 2.8 corners per game, while San Lorenzo earns 4.4. In their last five matches, both teams recorded two instances of over 9.5 total corners. Combining their averages results in 7.2 corners between them. The nearest total with a pair of odds is 7.5: over 7.5 corners is at 1.47, under 7.5 is at 2.48. For corner outcomes, Newells Old Boys is favored with odds of 2.05. Considering that both teams rarely exceed 9.5 corners, a bet on under 9.5 corners or closer to the average value seems logical. It is also worth noting that Newells Old Boys averages fewer corners than San Lorenzo, which could affect the distribution of set pieces.