Prediction for match Newport County — Gillingham, 01.11.2025

Who is the favorite in the Newport County vs Gillingham match?

On November 1st, Newport County will face Gillingham in the FA Cup. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Gillingham win - 2.05, draw - 3.40, Newport County win - 3.60. Based on probability distribution, Gillingham has a 46.03% chance of winning, a draw is at 27.75%, and Newport County has a 26.21% chance. Gillingham is considered the favorite, but the difference between a draw and a Newport County win is minimal. Bets on the visitors' victory are the most likely according to the odds and percentages.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Newport County had an average possession of 43.6%, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 12.2 fouls, and had 1.8 offsides per game. Gillingham's stats are slightly different: 41.2% possession, 3 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Newport County played against Harrogate Town 0-3, Cheltenham Town 0-2, Accrington Stanley 0-1. Gillingham faced Salford City 1-2, Grimsby Town 1-0, Cheltenham Town 1-1. Their last head-to-head was on September 20: Newport County - Gillingham 1-3, with Over 2.5 goals. Previous matches between these teams also saw high-scoring outcomes.

How many goals to expect?

In a series of five matches, Newport County has an average total of 1.6 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 0.6 per game. Gillingham is noticeably higher in scoring with an average of 2.8 goals, scoring 1 and conceding 1.8. Over 2.5 goals occurred in only 1 out of 5 for Newport County, and 3 out of 5 for Gillingham. In the first half, Newport County had no matches over 1.5 goals, while Gillingham had 1 out of 5. In the second half, Newport County had 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, and Gillingham had 3 out of 5. The most frequent interval for Gillingham to score is 76-90 minutes (33%), and they also concede most often at the end (76-90, 50%). Newport County concedes evenly: 0-15, 31-45, and 46-60 at 25% each. Analyzing the averages and frequency of over goals, it's logical to bet on Under 2.5 goals at 1.80: Newport County is strong defensively, while Gillingham's high average total is inconsistent.

Corner bets

Newport County averages 3.2 corners, and Gillingham averages 4.8 per game. For Over 9.5 corners: Newport County achieved this only once in 5 games, while Gillingham did it 3 out of 5. For the match line: Over 9.5 corners is at 1.91, Under 9.5 is at 1.80. Gillingham is the favorite to win on corners at 1.40. Based on statistics, it's more logical to consider Over 9.5 corners, given the visitors' productive stats and frequency of success.