Prediction for match Nice — Montpellier, 04.02.2026

Match Analysis: Nice vs Montpellier

In the Coupe de France on February 4th, Nice will face Montpellier. Nice is favored with odds of 1.67 to win, a draw is at 4.00, and Montpellier's victory is valued at 4.60. The probabilities are: 56.16% for a Nice win, 23.45% for a draw, and 20.39% for Montpellier. Nice is the favorite, but Montpellier has shown strong performances recently, adding intrigue to the upcoming match. The odds reflect confidence in both teams' attacking potential, suggesting a potentially high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Nice has an average possession of 49.4%, with 2.8 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 1 offside. Montpellier, in the same period, averages 45.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 16.2 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Nice drew 2-2 with Brest (01.02.2026), lost 0-1 to Ludogorets (29.01.2026), and defeated Nantes 4-1 (25.01.2026). Montpellier recently beat Guingamp 3-1 (30.01.2026), won against Bastia 2-0 (23.01.2026), and lost to Boulogne 0-1 (16.01.2026). In their head-to-head match on 23.02.2025, Nice won 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Nice's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times, under 1. Montpellier had 3 overs and 2 unders in this span. Nice averages 4 goals per game, while Montpellier averages 3. Both teams score an average of 2 goals, with Nice conceding 2 on average and Montpellier 1. In 4 out of 5 matches, Nice had over 1.5 goals in the first half, and 3 out of 5 in the second half. Montpellier had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second half. Nice often scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (33%), while Montpellier scores in the same 31-45 and 76-90 minute intervals (40% each). Nice's most vulnerable period for conceding is 16-30 minutes (38%), while Montpellier's are 0-15, 46-60, and 61-75 minutes (27% each). The overall scoring potential and frequent over 2.5 totals for both teams suggest betting on over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.67.

Corner Totals Analysis

Nice averages 5.8 corners, while Montpellier averages 3. In the last five matches, Nice exceeded 9.5 corners four times, while Montpellier did not. The line for total corners closely aligns with the average values at 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.61, and under 9.5 is 1.44. Based on Nice's average activity and frequency of exceeding this line, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially given their attacking style. Montpellier takes fewer corners, but the overall activity of both teams can ensure the necessary number of set-pieces.