Prediction for match Nice — PSG

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On March 21, 2026, in Ligue 1, a match between Nice and PSG will take place. According to the 1X2 odds, PSG is the clear favorite: a win for the Parisians is priced at 1.38 with a probability of 71.30%. A draw is priced at 5.84 (16.85%), while a win for Nice is at 8.30 with a probability of 11.85%. This setup reflects PSG's significant advantage in current form and scoring ability, as confirmed by the odds and the percentage distribution for the main outcomes. The highest percentage is for PSG's victory, and the gap with the closest contender in terms of probability is quite substantial.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Nice has an average ball possession of 50.4%, with the team recording 2.2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Over the same period, PSG shows 65% possession, 0.6 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Nice's last three matches were: 14.03.2026 Angers - Nice 0-2, 08.03.2026 Nice - Rennes 0-4, 04.03.2026 Lorient - Nice 5-6. PSG's last three matches: 17.03.2026 Chelsea - PSG 0-3, 11.03.2026 PSG - Chelsea 5-2, 06.03.2026 PSG - Monaco 1-3. In the last head-to-head meeting on 01.11.2025, PSG - Nice ended 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Nice has an average total of 2.6 goals per game, while PSG has 3.8. Nice scores an average of 1 goal per match and concedes 1.6, while PSG scores 2.4 and concedes 1.4. In terms of over 2.5 goals: Nice had 2 out of 5, PSG had 4 out of 5. The total over 1.5 in the first half was seen twice for both teams, and in the second half three times for both. In terms of timing, Nice most often scores in the 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minute intervals (25% each), while PSG scores most frequently in the 61-75 minute interval (38%). For goals conceded, Nice's most common intervals are 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (30% each), while PSG's distribution is even across all six-minute intervals (17%). This profile of the teams, with PSG's pronounced over-potential, regular over 2.5 totals, and second-half activity, suggests a bet on over 3.0 goals at 1.56 as the main option. PSG consistently scores more than two goals per game, and Nice is capable of keeping up the pace, as evidenced by recent match results.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Nice averages 6 corners per match, PSG 4.6, for a total of 10.6. In the last 5 matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for both teams. For the total corners 9.5, there are both options: over 9.5 is priced at 1.73, under 9.5 at 1.99. For the corner outcome, PSG is the favorite with odds of 1.40. This corner profile suggests a bet on over 9.5 corners as logical, considering the frequency of occurrence and the average figures of both teams. It can also be noted that both teams are capable of creating chances and earning corners, as confirmed by their recent match statistics.