Prediction for match Nigeria — Morocco, 14.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On January 14, Nigeria will face Morocco in the Africa Cup of Nations. According to the 1X2 odds, Morocco is the favorite with odds of 2.38, a draw is at 3.14, and a win for Nigeria is at 3.54. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Morocco - 41.15%, draw - 31.19%, Nigeria - 27.66%. This setup indicates Morocco's advantage, but the high draw odds add intrigue to the upcoming match. Betting on the total goals offers interesting options, with the line for under 2.5 goals at 1.65.

Team Results and Statistics

Nigeria shows confident ball possession - 61.8% on average over the last five matches, with 2.4 yellow cards, 18.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Morocco also demonstrates a high possession percentage - 60.2%, but with fewer yellow cards (1.6), fouls (14.4), and offsides (2.2), the team appears slightly more disciplined. In their last three matches, Nigeria defeated Algeria 2-0 (10.01.2026), thrashed Mozambique 4-0 (05.01.2026), and beat Uganda 3-1 (30.12.2025). During the same period, Morocco won against Cameroon 2-0 (09.01.2026), overcame Tanzania 1-0 (04.01.2026), and routed Zambia 3-0 (29.12.2025). In their last head-to-head on February 4, 2018, Morocco was stronger, winning 4-0.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Nigeria vs Morocco Match

In Nigeria's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred four times, while for Morocco, it happened only once. Nigeria's average goal tally per match is 3.6, with the team scoring 2.8 and conceding 0.8. Morocco's average total is 2, scoring 1.8 and conceding only 0.2. For Nigeria, the second half total over 1.5 occurred in all five matches, but only once in the first half. For Morocco, both halves are often low-scoring: only 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 in each half. Nigeria's most frequent scoring intervals are the 46-60 and 61-75 minute marks (30% each), while for Morocco, it's the 61-75 minute mark (40%). For goals conceded, Nigeria's intervals are the same (46-75 minutes) - 38% each, for Morocco - 16-30 and 61-75 (33% each). Despite Nigeria's scoring ability, Morocco's defense looks very solid, as evidenced by their low average of goals conceded and under-profile in totals. This combination suggests a low-scoring match, where betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.65 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Nigeria has 4.4 corners per match, while Morocco has 5.4. In a five-match series, the total over 9.5 corners occurred twice for Nigeria and once for Morocco. Among the corner total odds, the line closest to the average sum (9.8) is 9.5: over 9.5 is at 2.21, under 9.5 is at 1.51. This balance suggests that the match could be rich in set-pieces, but the frequency of over 9.5 is not very high yet. For individual corner totals, Nigeria often records 4-5 deliveries, while Morocco has 5-6. Overall, betting on over 9.5 corners looks logical for riskier options, but the under-profile is slightly stronger in terms of frequency.