Prediction for match Lokomotiva Zagreb — Hajduk Split

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the upcoming HNL round on December 13, Lokomotiva Zagreb will face Hajduk Split. The odds for Hajduk Split to win are 2.02, a draw is priced at 3.28, and a victory for Lokomotiva Zagreb is at 3.65. In percentage terms, the chances are distributed as follows: Hajduk Split - 46.10%, draw - 28.39%, Lokomotiva Zagreb - 25.51%. These figures highlight Hajduk Split as the more likely winner, with the draw also being relatively highly rated. The other main markets for outcomes and totals range from 1.51 to 2.34, indicating moderate scoring expectations and cautiousness from the bookmakers.

Team Results and Statistics

Lokomotiva Zagreb shows a high ball possession percentage over the last 5 matches - 62.8%, with averages of 2.2 yellow cards, 16.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Hajduk Split's possession stands at 58.2%, with 2.8 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 1 offside on average. Lokomotiva Zagreb's last three results: 07.12.2025 Varazdin - Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-2, 30.11.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Rijeka 1-1, 23.11.2025 Osijek - Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1. Hajduk Split's recent results: 06.12.2025 Dinamo Zagreb - Hajduk Split 1-1, 29.11.2025 Hajduk Split - Varazdin 1-1, 22.11.2025 Rijeka - Hajduk Split 5-0. In their last head-to-head on 27.09.2025, Hajduk Split defeated Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match stretch, Lokomotiva Zagreb averages a total of 3.4 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2, while Hajduk Split averages 2.2, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.4. In terms of over 2.5 goals, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 2 out of 5 matches, and Hajduk Split only 1 out of 5. In the first halves, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Hajduk Split 1 out of 5. In the second halves, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Hajduk Split 2 out of 5. Lokomotiva Zagreb most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (55%), and Hajduk Split in the same period (33%). In terms of goals conceded: Lokomotiva Zagreb concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (50%), Hajduk Split between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (50% each). Overall, Lokomotiva Zagreb shows a higher total but Hajduk Split has low scoring efficiency (0.8 goals per game). Neither team shows a strong over-profile for over 2.5 goals, and there's no clear skew towards high scoring. Thus, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.71 seems justified: Lokomotiva Zagreb had 3 out of 5 matches under, Hajduk Split 4 out of 5, and Hajduk Split's average goals don't reach 1.0. Also, the under is supported by halves: in both teams, only 1-2 matches out of 5 went over 1.5 in each half.

Corner Totals Analysis

Lokomotiva Zagreb averages 6.4 corners over the last 5 games, while Hajduk Split averages 7. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 3 out of 5, Hajduk Split 4 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (13.4) is 9.5, with odds available for both: over 9.5 corners is at 1.80, under 9.5 at 1.90. Hajduk Split is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.91. Based on the statistics, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given the high averages of both teams and the frequency of this total being exceeded in recent matches. It's also worth noting that both teams actively earn corners, which could lead to high corner counts.