Prediction for match Lokomotiva Zagreb — HNK Rijeka, 30.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On November 30, in the HNL, Lokomotiva Zagreb will face HNK Rijeka. According to the odds, Rijeka is the favorite with a win priced at 2.25, reflecting a 41.40% probability. Lokomotiva Zagreb's victory is set at 3.14 (29.67%), while a draw is at 3.22 (28.93%). Analysts expect Rijeka to have an advantage, but a close contest is anticipated. The match promises to be interesting in terms of power distribution, as the percentage gap between the teams is not too large.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five games, Lokomotiva Zagreb shows an average possession of 59.4%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 15.6 fouls, and gets caught offside 2.6 times per match. Rijeka has 55% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 15.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Lokomotiva Zagreb's last three matches were: November 23 - Osijek 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb, November 8 - Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 Slaven Belupo, November 3 - HNK Gorica 4-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Rijeka's last three games were: November 27 - Rijeka 0-0 AEK Larnaca, November 22 - Rijeka 5-0 Hajduk Split, November 9 - Varazdin 1-0 Rijeka. In their last head-to-head on September 13, Rijeka and Lokomotiva Zagreb drew 1-1, with the total not exceeding 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Lokomotiva Zagreb played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times, while Rijeka also had two overs and three unders. In the first half, Lokomotiva Zagreb recorded over 1.5 goals twice and under three times, while Rijeka had only one over 1.5. In the second half, Lokomotiva Zagreb had one over 1.5, and Rijeka had three. The average number of goals over five matches for Lokomotiva Zagreb is 2.8, and for Rijeka, it's 2.2. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores an average of 1 goal per match, conceding 1.8, while Rijeka scores 1.4 and concedes 0.8. Lokomotiva Zagreb frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), and Rijeka also prefers the end of the match - 76th to 90th minutes (30%). Both teams are vulnerable to conceding goals between the 31st and 45th minutes - 50% each. Given these figures and the balance between attack and defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.05 seems logical. Both teams have the potential for a productive finish, and vulnerability in certain segments increases the likelihood of goals in the second half.

How Many Corners?

Lokomotiva Zagreb averages 7 corners in their last five matches, while Rijeka averages 5.4. The frequency of over 9.5 total corners for both teams is 3 out of 5. Based on the sum of the averages (12.4), the closest total for Over/Under pairs is 11.5. Odds for over 11.5 are 3.30, and for under 11.5 are 1.25. Rijeka is favored in corners with odds of 2.01. Considering the high average corner stats and frequent over 9.5 totals, it's logical to consider betting on over 9.5 corners or even higher, especially if the teams actively use the wings in the second half.