Prediction for match Lokomotiva Zagreb — Istra 1961

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

The match between Lokomotiva Zagreb and Istra 1961 is scheduled for 11.04.2026 in the HNL tournament. The odds for a Lokomotiva Zagreb win are 2.14, a draw is priced at 3.25, and an Istra 1961 victory is at 3.36. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Lokomotiva Zagreb 43.57%, draw 28.69%, Istra 1961 27.75%. Lokomotiva Zagreb holds a slight advantage according to the odds, but the gap is not overwhelming, indicating a cautious approach to the favorite. The goal total options also have a broad line, with Over 2.5 offered at 1.87 and Under 2.5 at 1.88, reflecting expectations of moderate scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

Lokomotiva Zagreb's last three matches were: 07.04.2026 - Vukovar - Lokomotiva Zagreb - 1-1, 21.03.2026 - Lokomotiva Zagreb - Dinamo Zagreb - 0-5, 15.03.2026 - Hajduk Split - Lokomotiva Zagreb - 2-1. Istra 1961's recent games were: 07.04.2026 - Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split - 1-3, 20.03.2026 - Istra 1961 - Varaždin - 2-1, 15.03.2026 - Rijeka - Istra 1961 - 0-2. On average over the last 5 games, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 49% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per match. Istra 1961 showed 43.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 30.01.2026, Istra 1961 and Lokomotiva Zagreb drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Lokomotiva Zagreb's average total goals were 2.8, while Istra 1961's was 2.2. Both teams have a balanced record on over 2.5 goals: 2 out of 5 over and 3 under. By halves, Lokomotiva Zagreb had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, and the same in the second half. Istra 1961 had over 1.5 in the first half only 1 out of 5, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores between the 16-30 minute mark in 33% of cases, while Istra 1961 most frequently scores late in the game - 76-90 minutes, 75%. In terms of goals conceded: Lokomotiva Zagreb most often concedes between 61-75 minutes (50%), Istra 1961 at the start of the match, 0-15 minutes (43%). Lokomotiva Zagreb's average goals scored is 0.6, Istra 1961's is 1, with Lokomotiva Zagreb conceding 2.2 and Istra 1961 1.2. The overall statistics and frequency of total goals suggest that a bet on over 2.25 goals seems justified: both teams tend to be productive, but without a clear bias toward over or under.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In the last 5 matches, Lokomotiva Zagreb averaged 5.8 corners, and Istra 1961 averaged 4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: both teams achieved this outcome 3 times out of 5. The line offers a total corners of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.93, under 9.5 at 1.81. The combined average for corners is 9.8, which is close to the selected total. Based on this data, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given that both teams regularly deliver a decent number of corners and the frequency of exceeding the total is above 50%. The option for a victory in corners does not have a clear favorite, as both teams' stats are quite close.