Prediction for match Lokomotiva Zagreb — Osijek

Match Preview

In the Croatian HNL on February 21, 2026, Lokomotiva Zagreb will face Osijek. According to the 1X2 odds, a win for Lokomotiva Zagreb is priced at 2.30, a draw at 3.24, and a win for Osijek at 3.04. In terms of probabilities, Lokomotiva Zagreb has a 40.54% chance, a draw is at 28.78%, and Osijek has a 30.67% chance. Based on these numbers, Lokomotiva Zagreb seems slightly favored, but the gap is not significant. Interestingly, the odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.95, while under 2.5 is at 1.81, suggesting a slight inclination towards a low-scoring game, but with potential for goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Lokomotiva Zagreb averaged 45.4% ball possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Osijek, over the same period, averaged 41.8% possession, 3 yellow cards, 14 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last three games, Lokomotiva Zagreb's results were: February 13, 2026 - Slaven Belupo 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb, February 6, 2026 - Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HNK Gorica, January 30, 2026 - Istra 1961 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Osijek's last three matches: February 15, 2026 - Osijek 0-2 Hajduk Split, February 8, 2026 - Varaždin 2-1 Osijek, February 1, 2026 - Osijek 1-0 Rijeka. In their last head-to-head on November 23, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals in Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Osijek

Over their last five matches, Lokomotiva Zagreb's average total goals per game is 2.4, while Osijek's is 1.8. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores and concedes 1.2 goals per game, while Osijek scores 0.4 and concedes 1.4. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and under 2.5 in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for both teams, and in the second half, Lokomotiva Zagreb also had 2 over 1.5, while Osijek had none. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores most frequently in the 0-15 and 46-60 minute intervals (30% each), while Osijek scores in three different segments: 0-15, 16-30, and 61-75 minutes (33% each). Lokomotiva Zagreb concedes evenly across four intervals (25% each), while Osijek concedes more often in the 16-30 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each). Considering Osijek's low scoring rate (0.4 goals per game) and the not-so-high average total, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.81 seems logical. Although Lokomotiva Zagreb has some attacking potential, both teams generally don't engage in high-scoring shootouts.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last five matches, Lokomotiva Zagreb averaged 3 corners, and Osijek 3.8. Both teams have had over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches. With an average total of 6.8 corners (sum of averages), the closest total is 7.5, with odds for over 7.5 at 1.30 and under 7.5 at 3.04. For corner outcomes, Lokomotiva Zagreb is at 2.00, Osijek at 2.27, and a draw at 7.02. Given the averages, a low total of corners is expected, making the over 7.5 bet look optimal. It's also worth noting that neither team shows a strong tendency for corners in recent matches.