Prediction for match Osijek — HNK Gorica

Match Analysis: Osijek vs HNK Gorica

The match between Osijek and HNK Gorica in the HNL will take place on December 13, 2025. Bookmakers have set the odds for an Osijek victory at 2.12, a draw at 3.22, and a win for HNK Gorica at 3.44. In terms of probabilities: Osijek - 43.96%, draw - 28.94%, HNK Gorica - 27.09%. The most likely outcome is considered to be an Osijek win, although a draw is also quite possible according to the odds and percentages.

Team Results and Statistics

Osijek, over a stretch of 5 games, averages 46.6% possession, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 17.2 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times per match. HNK Gorica averages 44.4% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three matches, Osijek played as follows: 07.12.2025 - Osijek vs Istra 1961 - 1-5, 28.11.2025 - Vukovar vs Osijek - 2-2, 23.11.2025 - Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb - 1-1. During the same period, HNK Gorica played: 05.12.2025 - Slaven Belupo vs HNK Gorica - 2-1, 01.12.2025 - HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb - 0-2, 23.11.2025 - HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961 - 1-0. In their last head-to-head on 28.09.2025, HNK Gorica lost to Osijek 0-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Osijek vs HNK Gorica

Osijek has an average total of 2.8 goals over a five-match series, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2 per game. HNK Gorica averages 2.6 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.2. Both teams have 2 out of 5 matches going over 2.5 goals and 3 under. In the first half, Osijek has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while HNK Gorica has 2 out of 5. In the second half, Osijek has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, and HNK Gorica has 1 out of 5. In terms of intervals, Osijek most often scores between 76-90 minutes (50%) and concedes between 31-45 (38%). HNK Gorica scores most frequently in the 0-15 minute interval (38%), with conceded goals spread evenly across five intervals at 20% each. Overall, neither team shows a strong over-profile, and the over 2.5 goals stats and halftime performances are moderate. In this situation, a bet on under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.77 seems justified, considering Osijek's low attacking output (0.8 goals per game) and HNK Gorica's average scoring rate.

Corner Bets

Osijek averages 6.4 corners per match, while HNK Gorica averages 2.8. In their last five matches, Osijek's total corners exceeded 9.5 three times, while HNK Gorica exceeded it once. The combined average corners for both teams is 9.2, aligning with the 9.5 total line. For total corners of 9.5, the odds are 1.88 for over and 1.82 for under. Osijek is favored in corners with odds of 1.64. Given Osijek's high activity in delivering corners, it makes sense to consider betting on their individual total corners or the overall total over 9.5, although HNK Gorica's low statistics in this area might limit the overall total.