Prediction for match Osijek — HNK Gorica

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In the upcoming HNL round on March 14, Osijek will face HNK Gorica. The odds for an Osijek win are 2.18, for a draw 2.81, and for a HNK Gorica win 3.86. The probability percentages are as follows: Osijek win 42.72%, draw 33.15%, HNK Gorica win 24.13%. The most balanced option in terms of odds and probabilities is the over 2.5 goals market at 2.25, making it an attractive bet given the current team profiles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Osijek recorded the following results: March 6, 2026, Istra 1961 - Osijek 0-1, February 28, 2026, Osijek - Vukovar 2-0, February 21, 2026, Lokomotiva Zagreb - Osijek 3-1. Over the same period, HNK Gorica played as follows: March 7, 2026, HNK Gorica - Slaven Belupo 2-2, March 1, 2026, Dinamo Zagreb - HNK Gorica 4-2, February 21, 2026, Istra 1961 - HNK Gorica 0-2. On average over the last five games, Osijek held possession for 44.2% of the time, received 3 yellow cards, committed 15.8 fouls, and had 1.8 offsides per game. HNK Gorica held possession 47% of the time, received 1.6 yellows, committed 11.2 fouls, and had 2.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on December 13, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Osijek averaged 2.4 goals per game, while HNK Gorica averaged 3. Osijek scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.4, while HNK Gorica scores 1.2 and concedes 1.8. During the same period, Osijek's games went over 2.5 goals 2 out of 5 times, and HNK Gorica's games 3 out of 5. By halves: Osijek had more than 1.5 goals in the first half only once in five games, and in the second half 2 out of 5. HNK Gorica had more than 1.5 goals in the first half twice, and in the second half 3 times out of 5. Osijek tends to score more in the second half: 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes with 29% each. HNK Gorica scores most often in the first 15 minutes (33%). Conceding-wise, Osijek has a uniform distribution across all intervals, while HNK Gorica concedes more frequently from the 31st to the 90th minute (25% in each of the four intervals). Overall, the goal profiles of both teams lean towards a high-scoring game, supporting the choice of betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.25.

Analysis of Corner Totals

The average number of corners over 5 matches for Osijek is 4.2, and for HNK Gorica 4.8. For the over 9.5 corners market, Osijek had 2 out of 5, and HNK Gorica 1 out of 5. The closest to the combined average is a total of 9.0 corners. For this value, there are options: over 9 corners at 1.86, under 9 corners at 1.84. In terms of corner outcomes, Osijek is favored with odds of 1.71. Considering the average figures, it makes sense to look at a bet on over 9 corners or Osijek's individual corner total over 4.5 (1.68) when considering additional options.