Prediction for match Osijek — Lokomotiva Zagreb, 23.11.2025

Match Analysis: Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb

In the HNL tournament on November 23, Osijek will face Lokomotiva Zagreb. The odds for an Osijek win are 2.05, a draw is priced at 3.42, and a Lokomotiva Zagreb victory is at 3.41. Looking at the outcome probabilities, Osijek has 45.44%, a draw 27.24%, and Lokomotiva Zagreb 27.32%. The odds and percentages show a slight advantage for Osijek, but the probabilities between the opponents are nearly equal, with the draw also having a significant share. This is reflected in the balance of power: neither side stands out prominently, and the match promises to be a tough battle for the result.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Osijek averages 51% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 17.4 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Lokomotiva Zagreb holds the ball 53.6% of the time on average, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 16.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2.2 times per match. Osijek's last three matches: 08.11.2025 Hajduk Split - Osijek 2-0, 02.11.2025 Osijek - Varazdin 0-0, 27.10.2025 Rijeka - Osijek 4-2. For Lokomotiva Zagreb: 08.11.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Slaven Belupo 1-1, 03.11.2025 HNK Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb 4-1, 25.10.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961 1-2. In the head-to-head on 31.08.2025, Lokomotiva Zagreb and Osijek played 1-1 - total under 2.5 was not breached. Overall, both teams rarely show consistent scoring, with frequent draws and narrow victories.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last 5 matches, Osijek had over 2.5 goals 3 times, as did Lokomotiva Zagreb. In the first half, both teams showed over 1.5 goals twice out of five, and similarly in the second half, each had two instances of over. Average figures: Osijek 2.8 goals per game, Lokomotiva Zagreb 3. Osijek scores 0.8 and concedes 2, while Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.2 and concedes 1.8. By intervals, Osijek most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (50%), while Lokomotiva Zagreb scores both at the start (33%) and towards the end (76-90, 33%). Osijek most often concedes from the 61st to the 75th minute (50%), Lokomotiva Zagreb between the 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (33% each). Based on the average scoring of both teams, the over 2.5 goals occurring in 3 out of 5 matches for each, and considering the distribution of goals by halves and intervals, the optimal bet seems to be over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.87.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Osijek takes 5.6 corners per match, Lokomotiva Zagreb 5.8. In the last five games, Osijek's total over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times, and Lokomotiva Zagreb's 4 times. The total corners over 9.5 is priced at 1.80, as is under 9.5. For the outcome on corners, Osijek is favored with odds of 1.84. Given the frequent occurrence of over 9.5 and the active play of both teams in this regard, it makes sense to consider a bet on total corners over 9.5.