Prediction for match Varazdin — HNK Gorica

Match Analysis: Varazdin vs HNK Gorica

In the Croatian Cup on March 4, 2026, Varazdin will face HNK Gorica. The odds for a Varazdin victory are 2.43, for a draw - 3.14, and for a HNK Gorica win - 2.62. The probability distribution is as follows: Varazdin 37.02%, draw 28.65%, HNK Gorica 34.33%. The teams are closely matched, with no clear favorite, but a slight edge towards Varazdin. This setup promises a tense battle where every mistake could be decisive. Interestingly, the odds for over 2.0 goals are 1.61, while over 2.5 goals are at 2.17, suggesting moderate scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Varazdin has had 40% ball possession, averaging 2.8 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. HNK Gorica has slightly more possession at 43.8%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2 offsides on average per match. Varazdin's last three matches were: 28.02.2026 - Varazdin vs Hajduk Split - 1:1, 22.02.2026 - Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb - 0:4, 14.02.2026 - Rijeka vs Varazdin - 3:1. HNK Gorica's results are: 01.03.2026 - Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica - 4:2, 21.02.2026 - Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica - 0:2, 15.02.2026 - HNK Gorica vs Vukovar - 0:0. Their last head-to-head was on 26.01.2026: HNK Gorica vs Varazdin - 1:2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the past five matches, Varazdin has an average total of 3 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8. HNK Gorica has an average total of 2.4, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4 per game. For over 2.5 goals, Varazdin has 3 out of 5, while HNK Gorica has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Varazdin had 4 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, and HNK Gorica had 2 out of 5. In the second half, both teams have 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals. Varazdin scores most frequently in the 0-15 and 61-75 minute intervals (29% each), and concedes most often between the 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (33% each). HNK Gorica scores most often in three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 61-75 minutes (25% each), and concedes most frequently at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes - 33%) and in the last 15 minutes (76-90 minutes - 33%). Overall, neither team is extremely prolific, but they aren't particularly low-scoring either. A bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.61 seems logical, considering Varazdin's average total of 3 goals and their 3 out of 5 record for over 2.5 goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Varazdin has averaged 2.4 corners over five matches, while HNK Gorica has 4.4. For over 9.5 corners, Varazdin has 3 out of 5, and HNK Gorica has 2 out of 5. The combined average is 6.8, below the standard line of 9.5. The closest line with odds is over 9.5 corners and under 9.5 corners. For these options: over 9.5 corners is at 2.36, under 9.5 is at 1.49. Given the average number of corners, a bet on under 9.5 seems preferable. It's also worth noting that HNK Gorica takes almost twice as many corners as Varazdin, which could influence the game's dynamics.