Prediction for match Varazdin — Hajduk Split

Match Analysis: Varazdin vs Hajduk Split

In the upcoming HNL round on 28.02.2026, Varazdin faces Hajduk Split. The odds for Hajduk Split to win are 1.95, a draw is at 3.40, and a victory for Varazdin is priced at 3.74. In terms of probability: Hajduk Split has a 47.73% chance of winning, Varazdin 24.89%, and a draw is at 27.38%. Hajduk Split is the favorite in this clash, as confirmed by both the odds and the probability distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five games, Varazdin has had an average possession of 43%, received 2.6 yellow cards, committed 9.8 fouls, and had 0.8 offsides per match. Hajduk Split outperforms in these metrics: with 62.6% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Varazdin lost to Dinamo Zagreb 0-4 (22.02.2026), fell to Rijeka 1-3 (14.02.2026), and defeated Osijek 2-1 (08.02.2026). Hajduk Split, on the other hand, won against Rijeka 1-0 (22.02.2026), beat Osijek 2-0 (15.02.2026), and overcame Slaven Belupo 2-0 (07.02.2026). In their last head-to-head on 29.11.2025, Hajduk Split and Varazdin drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Varazdin has an average total goals of 3.2 per game over their last five matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. Hajduk Split has a significantly lower average total goals of 1.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding only 0.6. Varazdin has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Hajduk Split only in 1 out of 5. In the first half, Varazdin recorded over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, Hajduk Split in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Varazdin had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, while Hajduk Split had none. Regarding goal intervals: Varazdin scores most often between 0-15 (29%), 16-30 (29%), and 61-75 (29%), while Hajduk Split scores towards the end, 76-90 minutes (40%). Varazdin concedes most frequently between 46-60 minutes (30%), Hajduk Split at the very beginning, 0-15 minutes (50%). Considering Hajduk Split's low scoring in recent matches and Varazdin's over-profile in totals, it's logical to consider betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.80.

Corners in the Match

Varazdin averages 2.8 corners over five games, while Hajduk Split averages 6.4. Both teams had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 matches. Among the available corner totals, 9.5 is closest to the average sum (9.2): over 9.5 is priced at 2.19, under 9.5 at 1.59. For corner outcomes, Hajduk Split is the favorite with odds of 1.45. Based on available data, Hajduk Split consistently delivers more corners, and the total often approaches 9-10, making a bet on over 9.5 corners an interesting consideration.