Prediction for match Varazdin — Osijek

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Croatian Cup match between Varazdin and Osijek, set for December 3, bookmakers do not have a clear favorite. The odds for a Varazdin win are 2.38, for Osijek's success 2.55, and a draw is priced at 3.45. The probability of a Varazdin victory is 38.12%, a draw is evaluated at 26.3%, and Osijek's chances are 35.58%. This pair traditionally delivers a tight contest, and the odds for the outcomes are almost equal. There is no significant skew in favor of either team based on percentages, which is also confirmed by their head-to-head history.

Team Statistics and Scores

Looking at the performance metrics from the last five matches, Varazdin averages 42.6% possession, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per match. Osijek appears tougher in these aspects: 45.4% possession, 3.4 yellows, 18 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In Varazdin's last three matches: November 29 - Hajduk Split vs Varazdin 1-1, November 22 - Dinamo Zagreb vs Varazdin 3-1, November 9 - Varazdin vs Rijeka 1-0. Osijek played as follows: November 28 - Vukovar vs Osijek 2-2, November 23 - Osijek vs Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1, November 8 - Hajduk Split vs Osijek 2-0. In their last head-to-head on November 2, Osijek and Varazdin drew 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, Varazdin's average total goals per game is 2.2, while Osijek's is 2.8. Varazdin scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4, while Osijek scores 1 and concedes 1.8. Both teams have hit the over 2.5 total goals mark in 2 out of 5, and under in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Varazdin hit over 1.5 total goals twice, Osijek once. In the second half, Varazdin only once out of 5 for over 1.5, Osijek twice out of 5. For goal intervals: Varazdin most often scores between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (33% each), Osijek between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th (33% each). Both teams concede most frequently between the 31st-45th minutes (40% each). Recent head-to-heads have also seen low scores: 0-0 twice in a row, 2-1, 0-0, 0-0. Overall, the profile of both teams and their head-to-head matches lean towards low scoring, supported by average goal stats and frequency of unders. It makes sense to consider a bet on under 2.5 goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Varazdin averages 3.6 corners per game, Osijek 6. In a five-match series, the over 9.5 corners total was hit by both teams 4 out of 5 times. Looking at the odds, the 9.5 corner total seems closest to the sum of average figures. Based on this data, it's logical to expect active wing play and a high number of crosses from Osijek, which could lead to the over 9.5 corners being hit. It is also worth noting that Osijek consistently delivers more corners than Varazdin, which may affect the distribution of set-pieces in this match.