Prediction for match Northern Ireland — Luxembourg

Who is the favorite in the Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg match?

Northern Ireland and Luxembourg will face off on November 17th as part of the World Cup qualification tournament. The odds for Northern Ireland to win are 1.36, a draw is at 4.50, and Luxembourg's victory is at 9.50. According to probability percentages, the chances are distributed as follows: Northern Ireland win - 69.19%, draw - 20.91%, Luxembourg win - 9.90%. This setup confirms the hosts' dominance on paper, but both teams have shown inconsistency in recent matches, which could affect the game dynamics.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Northern Ireland shows the following stats: ball possession 35.6%, average yellow cards - 3, fouls - 14.6, offsides - 1.2. Luxembourg's averages are: possession 40%, yellow cards - 3, fouls - 11.6, offsides - 0.6. In their last three matches, Northern Ireland played: 14.11.2025 Slovakia - Northern Ireland 1-0, 13.10.2025 Northern Ireland - Germany 0-1, 10.10.2025 Northern Ireland - Slovakia 2-0. Luxembourg's recent matches: 14.11.2025 Luxembourg - Germany 0-2, 13.10.2025 Slovakia - Luxembourg 2-0, 10.10.2025 Germany - Luxembourg 4-0. In their head-to-head on 04.09.2025, Luxembourg lost to Northern Ireland 1-3, confirming the Irish advantage.

How many goals to expect?

In terms of totals over five matches, both teams had over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. In the first half, both teams recorded two overs of 1.5 and three unders. In the second half, Northern Ireland also had two overs of 1.5, while Luxembourg had four high-scoring second halves. On average, Northern Ireland scores and concedes 1.2 goals per game, Luxembourg scores very little (0.2) and concedes 2.4. In terms of goal intervals, Northern Ireland often scored in the 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minute segments (29% each), while Luxembourg scored in the 46-60 minute interval (43%). As for goals conceded, Northern Ireland was most vulnerable in the 31-45 minute segment (40%), and Luxembourg in the 46-75 minute segments (33% for each). Given Luxembourg's low scoring and regular conceding, it's logical to assume both teams won't score in this match. The most justified bet seems to be "Both teams to score: no".

Analysis of corner totals

Northern Ireland averages 4.4 corners per game, Luxembourg - 2.8. In a five-match series, Northern Ireland only once exceeded a total of 9.5 corners, while Luxembourg never did. They offer to bet on over 9 corners at 1.80, under 9 at 2.00, over 9.5 at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.73. The favorite for corners is Northern Ireland with odds of 1.17. Based on average values, it's reasonable to consider a bet on under 9.5 corners, as neither team is particularly active at the corner flag.