Prediction for match Norwich — Derby County

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

On April 21, 2026, Norwich City will face Derby County in the English Championship. According to the 1X2 odds, a victory for Norwich City is priced at 1.87, a draw at 3.64, and a win for Derby County at 3.88. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Norwich City - 50.11%, draw - 25.74%, Derby County - 24.15%. For total goals, Over 2.5 is at 1.80, Under 2.5 at 1.98. Both teams to score: Yes - 1.69, No - 2.05. For individual totals: Norwich City Over 1.5 - 1.87, Derby County Over 1 - 2.00. For double chance: 1X - 1.23, X2 - 1.89, 12 - 1.26. For first-half totals: Over 1.5 - 2.62, Under 1.5 - 1.43.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Norwich City has shown strong performance: on 18.04.2026, Bristol City - Norwich City 2-4, on 11.04.2026, Norwich City - Ipswich Town 0-2, on 06.04.2026, Millwall - Norwich City 1-2. They also drew 1-1 with Portsmouth and won 1-0 against Charlton Athletic. Derby County in the same period secured victories over Oxford United 1-0, Stoke City 2-0, and Birmingham 1-0, lost to Southampton 1-2 and Coventry 2-3. Their last head-to-head was on 21.10.2025: Derby County - Norwich City 1-0. In secondary statistics, Norwich City averages 59% possession over 5 games, with 2.8 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per match. Derby County averages 51.4% possession, 2.2 yellows, 14 fouls, and 1 offside.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Norwich City has an average total of 2.8 goals, and Derby County 2.4. In terms of goals per match: Norwich City scores 1.6 and concedes 1.2; Derby County scores 1.4 and concedes 1. On over 2.5 goals: both teams had 2 out of 5 matches over, 3 under. By halves: Norwich City had 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second. Derby County had 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the second. For goal intervals: Norwich City most frequently scores in the 0-15, 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (25% each) and concedes in the 61-75 and 76-90 (30% each). Derby County most frequently scores in the 61-75 (33%) and concedes in the 31-45 (67%). Overall, both teams do not show a strong over-profile, but the average goal figures and distribution by halves suggest considering Over 2.5 at 1.80 as a logical choice. The support from second halves and average goals of both teams favor this outcome.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For corners, Norwich City averages 8 per match over 5 games, Derby County 4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners: Norwich City 4 out of 5, Derby County 1 out of 5. Among the available total corners, the line closest to the average sum (12) is 11.5. Over 11.5 corners is at 2.53, under 11.5 at 1.35. For corners outcome, Norwich City is the favorite with odds of 1.31. Considering Norwich City's high average for corners and frequent overs of 9.5, it makes sense to consider betting on higher corner totals, as well as Norwich City's advantage in this component.