Prediction for match Norwich — Oxford United, 25.11.2025

Match Analysis: Norwich City vs Oxford United

The Championship clash between Norwich City and Oxford United is set for November 25, 2025. The odds for the outcomes are distributed as follows: a Norwich City win is at 1.97, a draw is priced at 3.45, and an Oxford United victory is at 3.70. In terms of probability: Norwich City - 47.54%, draw - 27.15%, Oxford United - 25.31%. The odds and probability distribution highlight Norwich City as the favorite, though the gap between the teams is moderate, suggesting some inconsistency from the hosts in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Norwich City averages 51.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Oxford United trails in possession (39.4%), receives fewer cards (0.8), commits 8.8 fouls, and also has 2.2 offsides. In Norwich's last three matches: Birmingham 4-1 Norwich City, Norwich City 1-2 Leicester, Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Norwich City. Oxford United's recent results: Oxford United 1-1 Middlesbrough, West Bromwich 2-1 Oxford United, Oxford United 0-3 Stoke City. Their head-to-head on March 7, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw, with the total under 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Norwich City has exceeded the total over 2.5 goals three times, while Oxford United has done so four times. In the first half, Norwich has two matches with over 1.5 goals, and Oxford has three. In the second half, both teams have surpassed 1.5 goals twice. The average goals for both teams is 3 per game, but the distribution is different: Norwich scores only 0.8, while Oxford scores 1.2. Norwich City tends to score in the first 15 minutes (38%), while Oxford United scores between minutes 46-60 (33%). Norwich concedes evenly across three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (29% each). Oxford United concedes more often at the start (0-15, 33%) and right after the break (46-60, 33%). Despite the average goal count in matches, Norwich's low scoring and Oxford's moderate aggression suggest a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.86. This odds fit the recent game patterns of both teams and are supported by the frequency of under results by half.

Corner Totals Analysis

In terms of corners, Norwich City averages 5.4 per match, while Oxford United averages 4.8. In the last five matches, Norwich had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, and Oxford had 4 out of 5. The total over 8.75 corners is priced at 1.50, and under 8.75 at 2.22. Norwich City to win the corner count is at 1.38. Considering both teams consistently deliver 5 or more corners, a bet on over 8.75 corners seems justified for this matchup.