Prediction for match Nottingham Forest — Aston Villa

Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa

In the Europa League on April 30th, an exciting clash is set to take place between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: a win for Nottingham Forest is priced at 2.59, a draw at 3.38, and a win for Aston Villa at 3.00. In terms of probability percentages, Nottingham Forest is at 38.03%, Aston Villa at 32.83%, and a draw at 29.14%. These odds reflect a fairly even match-up, with a slight edge for Nottingham Forest. Both teams are approaching this match with serious ambitions, promising a tense battle for progression to the next stage of the tournament.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at Nottingham Forest's last three matches, the team confidently defeated Sunderland 5-0 (24.04.2026), then overcame Burnley 4-1 (19.04.2026), and narrowly beat Porto 1-0 (16.04.2026). Aston Villa's last three games resulted in a loss to Fulham 0-1 (25.04.2026), a win over Sunderland 4-3 (19.04.2026), and a thrashing of Bologna 4-0 (16.04.2026). In their most recent head-to-head, the match ended 1-1 (12.04.2026). Over the last five games, Nottingham Forest has an average possession of 48%, yellow cards - 1.6, fouls - 12.6, offsides - 1.8. Aston Villa has 51.6% possession, yellow cards - 0.8, fouls - 11.6, offsides - 0.6. These numbers show that both teams can control the game and maintain discipline.

How Many Goals in Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa

The scoring form of both teams in the last five matches is impressive: Nottingham Forest averages 3 goals per game, while Aston Villa averages 3.6. Both teams score an average of 2.4 goals per match, but Nottingham Forest concedes significantly less - 0.6 compared to Aston Villa's 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Nottingham Forest achieved this in 2 out of 5, and Aston Villa in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 3 times for each team, while in the second half, it was only 1 time for Nottingham Forest and 2 times for Aston Villa. Goal intervals: Nottingham Forest often scores between 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (29% each), while Aston Villa scores most frequently between 31-45 minutes (33%). In terms of goals conceded: Nottingham Forest concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (50%), and Aston Villa in the final stages, from 76 to 90 minutes (43%). Considering the high scoring rates of both teams, consistent scoring and conceding records, as well as frequent over 2.5 goal outcomes, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.11 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

On average, Nottingham Forest wins 5.2 corners per match, and Aston Villa 3.8. In the last five games, the over 9.5 corners was achieved just once by each team. Looking at the odds for corner totals, for 9.5, there are two outcomes: over 9.5 is at 1.79, under 9.5 at 1.92. Nottingham Forest is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 2.03. Given the average corner statistics, considering a total around 9-10 seems logical, but the low frequency of over 9.5 suggests a cautious bet on under 9.5 could be appealing for those who prefer lower totals in this category.