Prediction for match Novorizontino — Athletic

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Brazil's Serie B on April 19, Novorizontino will face Athletic. According to the odds, Novorizontino is favored to win with odds of 1.76, reflecting a 52.89% probability. A draw is offered at 3.42 (27.22%), while Athletic's victory is at 4.68 (19.89%). The odds suggest an advantage for Novorizontino, but the gap isn't insurmountable for Athletic. Both teams have been playing high-scoring football recently, making the over/under market intriguing.

Team Results and Statistics

Novorizontino has been in good form in their last five matches: a 3-0 win against America Mineiro (12.04.2026), a 1-1 draw with CRB (05.04.2026), and a 0-0 draw with Juventude (31.03.2026). They previously lost to Londrina (1-3) and Palmeiras (1-2). Athletic also shows promising results: a 3-2 win over CRB (12.04.2026), a 1-1 draw with America Mineiro (05.04.2026), a 1-1 draw with Criciuma (02.04.2026), a 2-1 win over Ponte Preta (22.03.2026), and a 3-1 win over Sport Recife (18.03.2026). In their head-to-head on 19.09.2025, Novorizontino defeated Athletic 1-0. Additional stats show Novorizontino's average possession over 5 matches is 48%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Athletic averages 39.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 20 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. These numbers indicate Athletic plays more aggressively and commits more fouls, while Novorizontino controls the ball more often.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Novorizontino vs Athletic Match

In their last five matches, both teams have gone over 2.5 goals three times: Novorizontino 3 out of 5, and Athletic also 3 out of 5. Novorizontino averages 2.4 goals per game, while Athletic averages 3.2, indicating a tendency for high-scoring matches. Novorizontino scores an average of 1.2 and concedes 1.2, while Athletic scores 2 and concedes 1.2. In terms of halves, Novorizontino has seen over 1.5 goals in the second half three times, Athletic twice. In the first half, Novorizontino only once went over 1.5 goals, Athletic twice. Goal intervals show Novorizontino scores most frequently between 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each), while Athletic scores most between 31-45 minutes (43%). For goals conceded, Novorizontino's most vulnerable periods are 61-75 and 76-90 (33% each), while Athletic's is 76-90 (44%). All this suggests a high likelihood of goals in the second half. Overall, both teams' statistics support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.16.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Novorizontino earns 5.4 corners per game, and Athletic 3.6, totaling 9. In their last five matches, Novorizontino went over 9.5 corners twice, Athletic three times. The line closest to the average sum is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.77, under is 1.94. Novorizontino is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.33. Considering both teams average around 9 corners per match, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially given both teams' attacking profiles and Athletic's frequent exceeding of this line.