Prediction for match Nublense — Universidad de Concepcion

Who is the favorite in the Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion match?

On May 23, 2026, Nublense will face Universidad de Concepcion in the Chilean Primera División. The main odds are as follows: Nublense to win is at 1.78, a draw is at 3.52, and Universidad de Concepcion to win is at 4.39. According to the percentages, Nublense has a 52.32% chance of winning, a draw is at 26.46%, and Universidad de Concepcion has a 21.22% chance. Nublense is favored by the odds, but Universidad de Concepcion should not be underestimated.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Nublense played as follows: on 17.05.2026, Colo-Colo defeated Nublense 6-2, on 25.04.2026, Nublense lost to O'Higgins 0-2, and on 19.04.2026, Nublense drew 1-1 with Coquimbo Unido. In their last three matches, Universidad de Concepcion played as follows: on 16.05.2026, they beat O'Higgins 1-0, on 26.04.2026, they lost to Colo-Colo 1-2, and on 18.04.2026, they were defeated by Deportes Limache 3-0. In their head-to-head meeting on 05.04.2025, Nublense won against Universidad de Concepcion 2-0. Over the last five matches, Nublense had an average possession of 44.6%, received 2.6 yellow cards, committed 10.2 fouls, and was caught offside 2 times. Universidad de Concepcion averaged 46.2% possession, received 3.4 yellow cards, committed 10.8 fouls, and was caught offside 1.2 times.

How many goals to expect?

In the last five games, Nublense averaged 2.6 goals per match, while Universidad de Concepcion averaged 2.8. Nublense scored an average of 0.8 and conceded 1.8, while Universidad de Concepcion also scored 0.8 but conceded 2. Regarding over 2.5 goals, Nublense had only 1 out of 5 matches, while Universidad de Concepcion had 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Nublense and once for Universidad de Concepcion. In the second half, Nublense had only 1 out of 5 for over 1.5, while Universidad de Concepcion had 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Nublense most often scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (25% each), while Universidad de Concepcion scores 40% of their goals in the final minutes (76-90). In terms of goals conceded, Nublense is most vulnerable between 31-45 minutes (40%), and Universidad de Concepcion between 16-30 minutes (50%). Despite relatively high average scoring in both teams' matches, their own scoring is low—0.8 goals per game each, with Nublense having only 1 match over 2.5 in five games. Universidad de Concepcion plays more high-scoring games but lacks consistency. Considering the low scoring rates and frequent unders for Nublense, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.71 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

In the last five matches, Nublense averaged 2.2 corners, and Universidad de Concepcion averaged 3.6. In the last five matches, the total over 9.5 corners occurred once for Nublense and three times for Universidad de Concepcion. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.07, while under 9.5 is at 1.67. Nublense is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.50. Both teams have low overall corner stats, especially Nublense, so betting on under 9.5 corners seems justified. Universidad de Concepcion tends to play more over on corners, but on average, both teams don't show high activity at the corner flag.