Prediction for match OFK Beograd — Backa Topola

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Serbian Super Liga match between OFK Beograd and Backa Topola, the odds for an OFK Beograd victory are 2.35, for a Backa Topola win - 2.62, and for a draw - 3.30. The probabilities are distributed as follows: OFK Beograd - 38.33%, draw - 27.29%, Backa Topola - 34.38%. Therefore, bookmakers do not identify a clear favorite, although OFK Beograd has slightly better chances of success. The attention to this match is due to the close odds and relatively equal chances, which could lead to an interesting contest.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, OFK Beograd had an average ball possession of 47%, received an average of 1.8 yellow cards, committed 11.6 fouls, and recorded 1 offside per game. Backa Topola had higher possession at 53.4%, more yellow cards at 3.6, 16.2 fouls, and 3.2 offsides per match. OFK Beograd's last three matches: 13.12.2025 - Vojvodina - OFK Beograd - 0-0, 06.12.2025 - Javor - OFK Beograd - 0-1, 30.11.2025 - OFK Beograd - Crvena Zvezda - 3-4. Backa Topola's matches: 15.12.2025 - Backa Topola - Crvena Zvezda - 0-0, 08.12.2025 - Spartak Subotica - Backa Topola - 1-2, 30.11.2025 - Backa Topola - Radnik Surdulica - 0-2. In their last head-to-head on 17.08.2025, Backa Topola lost to OFK Beograd 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, OFK Beograd had an average total of 2.6 goals per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.4. Backa Topola's average total was 1.8, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1. In OFK Beograd's last five matches, over 2.5 goals occurred twice, and under 2.5 goals three times. For Backa Topola, over 2.5 goals happened only once, under 2.5 goals four times. By halves, OFK Beograd had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once out of five, and in the second half, two out of five. Backa Topola didn't have any over 1.5 goals in the first half, but three out of five in the second half. OFK Beograd most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (33%), while Backa Topola scores between 46-60 minutes (67%). OFK Beograd concedes most often in three intervals: 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 (29% each), while Backa Topola concedes between 61-75 (50%). Based on this data, it is logical to consider a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.93: neither team has a consistent over-profile, and Backa Topola averages less than one goal per match.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

OFK Beograd averages 5.8 corners per game, Backa Topola - 5.6. In a series of five matches, OFK Beograd had over 9.5 corners three times, while Backa Topola never did. Among the corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (11.4) is 11.0, with two outcomes: over 11.0 corners - 3.36, under 11.0 - 1.24. OFK Beograd is the favorite in corners with odds of 2.03. Based on both teams' average activity, we can expect at least 10-11 corners per match, but since Backa Topola never surpassed 9.5 in the last five matches, a bet on a moderate total of corners seems more logical.