Prediction for match OH Leuven — Genk

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Jupiler Pro League on May 23, 2026, OH Leuven will face Genk. The 1X2 odds are as follows: a Genk win is priced at 1.90, a draw at 4.03, and an OH Leuven victory at 3.66. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 50.24% for a Genk win, 26.08% for an OH Leuven win, and 23.68% for a draw. Genk is the favorite according to these figures, but the gap isn't significant, which could add intrigue to the clash.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, OH Leuven averaged 1.6 yellow cards, committed 11.4 fouls, and were caught offside 1.2 times with 45% possession. During the same period, Genk recorded 1.2 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2.6 offsides, with 55% possession. OH Leuven's last three matches were: 19.05.2026 - Charleroi vs OH Leuven 1-1, 15.05.2026 - OH Leuven vs Royal Antwerp 3-0, 08.05.2026 - Standard Liege vs OH Leuven 2-1. Genk's last three games were: 19.05.2026 - Genk vs Royal Antwerp 0-0, 16.05.2026 - Standard Liege vs Genk 0-0, 10.05.2026 - Genk vs Westerlo 3-0. In their last head-to-head on 12.04.2026, Genk and OH Leuven played out a 0-0 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, OH Leuven has an average total of 3.2 goals, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.6 per game. Genk's figures are notably lower: an average of 1.4 goals per match, with 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded. For over 2.5 goals, OH Leuven hit this mark in 3 out of 5, while Genk only once in 5. In the first half, OH Leuven had over 1.5 goals twice in 5 matches, while Genk never did. In the second half, both teams played over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5. Regarding scoring intervals, OH Leuven often scores between the 46th and 60th minute (56%), while Genk scores between the 61st and 75th minute (67%). For goals conceded, OH Leuven's vulnerable periods are 0-15 and 31-45 (29% each), while Genk's is 76-90 (100%). Considering Genk's low scoring and only 1 in 5 over 2.5 goals, while OH Leuven has higher figures, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 2.34 seems logical. Expecting a high-scoring game isn't advised, especially given Genk's recent goalless draws and solid defense.

Analysis of Corner Totals

OH Leuven averages 4 corners per match, while Genk averages 8, totaling 12. In their last 5 matches, OH Leuven recorded over 9.5 corners 3 times, and Genk 2 times. The corner market line closest to the average is 11.5, but since there's no odds for this total, let's consider the nearest values. In this scenario, expecting active play on the wings and a high number of corner kicks, especially from Genk, who consistently registers high figures, makes sense. Bets on Genk's individual corner total over 7.5 or the overall total over 10.5 are justified based on recent match statistics.