Prediction for match OH Leuven — Union Saint-Gilloise, 24.01.2026

Match Analysis: OH Leuven vs Union Saint-Gilloise

On January 24th, in the Jupiler Pro League, OH Leuven will face Union Saint-Gilloise. According to the 1X2 odds, Union Saint-Gilloise is the favorite with a win priced at 1.72, a draw at 3.74, and an OH Leuven victory at 5.01. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 55.46% chance for a Union Saint-Gilloise win, 25.50% for a draw, and 19.04% for an OH Leuven win. This setup highlights Union Saint-Gilloise's advantage, which is also supported by their head-to-head history: in their last meeting on August 3, 2025, Union Saint-Gilloise thrashed their opponent 5-0.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, OH Leuven has shown average ball possession of 51%, with 3.4 yellow cards, 16 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Union Saint-Gilloise has 46% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. OH Leuven's last three matches: January 18, 2026, Sint-Truiden vs OH Leuven 1-0, December 27, 2025, RAAL La Louvière vs OH Leuven 0-0, December 21, 2025, OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge 0-2. Union Saint-Gilloise's last three games: January 21, 2026, Bayern vs Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0, January 17, 2026, Union Saint-Gilloise vs Mechelen 1-0, December 26, 2025, Cercle Brugge vs Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1. Their last head-to-head on August 3, 2025, ended with a 5-0 win for Union Saint-Gilloise.

Goal Statistics

OH Leuven has an average total of 1.2 goals in their last five matches, scoring 0.4 and conceding 0.8 on average. Union Saint-Gilloise averages 1.8 total goals, scoring 1 and conceding 0.8. In the last five matches, neither team has had a game with over 2.5 total goals, both having 0 overs and 5 unders. For over 1.5 goals in the first half: OH Leuven has 2 out of 5, Union Saint-Gilloise 1 out of 5. In the second half, OH Leuven had no overs, while Union Saint-Gilloise had 1 out of 5. Goal intervals show OH Leuven scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (100%), and concedes evenly across four different segments of the first and second halves (25% each). Union Saint-Gilloise scores most often between minutes 31-45 (38%) and concedes in the 16-30 and 31-45 minute intervals (50% each). Given both teams' low scoring rates, lack of overs on 2.5 total goals, and average goal totals, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.81 seems the most logical for this match.

Corner Totals Analysis

In their last five games, OH Leuven averages 4.8 corners, while Union Saint-Gilloise averages 4.4. OH Leuven's total corners over 9.5 occurred twice, while Union Saint-Gilloise never exceeded this mark. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.2) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.80, under 9.5 at 1.88. Union Saint-Gilloise is favored for corner outcomes with odds at 1.39. Based on statistics, a bet on corner totals closer to 9-10 seems justified, with Union Saint-Gilloise having the edge in corner outcomes.