Prediction for match Olympiakos — PSV Eindhoven, 04.11.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the UEFA Champions League on November 4, Olympiakos will face PSV Eindhoven. The odds for the match are as follows: Olympiakos to win - 2.50, PSV to win - 2.62, draw at 3.50. The probability percentages are: Olympiakos 37.47%, draw 26.77%, PSV 35.76%. There's no clear favorite in this matchup as the chances are quite evenly distributed, which is reflected in both the odds and the percentages. A draw is priced at 3.50, corresponding to a 26.77% probability, with the gap between the teams being minimal.

Team Results and Statistics

Olympiakos has shown an average possession of 48.4% over their last five matches, with an average of 2.6 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. PSV leads in possession with 60.6%, averages 1.8 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and also 2 offsides. In their last three matches, Olympiakos defeated Aris 2-1 (01.11.2025), beat AEK Athens 2-0 (26.10.2025), but lost to Barcelona 1-6 (21.10.2025). PSV won against Fortuna Sittard 5-2 (31.10.2025), overcame Feyenoord 3-2 (26.10.2025), and convincingly beat Napoli 6-2 (21.10.2025). In their head-to-head on 25.02.2021, PSV and Olympiakos played to a 2-1 result, with the total over 2.5 hitting.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have been showing high scoring form over the last 5 games: Olympiakos averages a total of 3.4 goals per match, while PSV averages 5.4. Olympiakos scores 1.6 and concedes 1.8, PSV scores 4 and concedes 1.4. For total over 2.5: Olympiakos had 3 out of 5 matches going over 2.5, PSV had 5 out of 5. In the first half, Olympiakos saw 2 out of 5 matches over 1.5, PSV had 3 out of 5, in the second half Olympiakos had 3 out of 5, PSV had 5 out of 5 over 1.5. The most frequent scoring interval for Olympiakos is the 61-75 minute (42%), for PSV it's the 76-90 minute (33%). Olympiakos concedes evenly across all fifteen-minute intervals, while 25% of PSV's goals come in both the 61-75 and 76-90 minute segments. Considering both teams regularly score and concede, and the total over 2.5 consistently hits, it's logical to consider a bet on "both teams to score - yes" at 1.57.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Olympiakos averages 4 per match, PSV 5.8. For the frequency of total 9.5: Olympiakos only had 1 out of 5 matches over 9.5, PSV had 3 out of 5. The line for corners is set at over 8.5 for 1.67, under 8.5 at 2.10. PSV is favored in corners with odds of 2.10. Given PSV's higher average and frequency of hitting the total 9.5, a bet on PSV's individual corner total over 4.5 at 2.10 seems justified. It's also worth noting that Olympiakos less frequently hits the corner total, which should be considered when choosing bets.