Prediction for match Olympiakos — Real Madrid

Match Analysis: Olympiakos vs Real Madrid

In the UEFA Champions League, Olympiakos will face Real Madrid on November 26, 2025. According to the odds, Real Madrid is the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.43, a draw at 5.28, and an Olympiakos win at 7.80. The probability distribution is as follows: Real Madrid - 68.77%, draw - 18.62%, Olympiakos - 12.61%. This highlights the significant difference in expectations from the bookmakers and confirms Real Madrid's status as the favorite in this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

Olympiakos has been performing well in their last five matches: winning 3-0 against Atromitos, 3-1 against Kifisia, drawing 1-1 with PSV, beating Aris 2-1, and defeating AEK Athens 2-0. Real Madrid, over the same period, drew 2-2 with Elche, 0-0 with Rayo Vallecano, lost 0-1 to Liverpool, thrashed Valencia 4-0, and beat Barcelona 2-1. Olympiakos averages 56.8% possession, while Real Madrid averages 52.6%. Olympiakos registers 1.4 yellow cards and 9.4 fouls per game, Real Madrid - 1.8 yellow cards and 10.4 fouls. Both teams average 2 offsides per match. There are no recent head-to-head statistics between these teams, adding an element of unpredictability.

Goals Statistics

Over the last five matches, Olympiakos averages 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, with a total of 2.8 goals per game. Real Madrid averages 1.6 goals scored, 0.8 conceded, with a total of 2.4 goals per game. In their last five matches, the total over 2.5 was achieved 3 times by both teams. In the second half, Olympiakos had over 1.5 goals in 3 matches, Real Madrid in 1 match. In the first half, Olympiakos never exceeded 1.5 goals, Real Madrid did it twice. In terms of timing, Olympiakos most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minute (33%), while Real Madrid prefers the 31st to 45th minute (36%). Olympiakos most often concedes between the 61st and 75th minute (40%), Real Madrid between the 76th and 90th minute (67%). Considering the average scoring of both sides, the over 2.5 total in three of the last five matches, and Olympiakos's attacking activity, a bet on over 2.75 goals seems justified. The odds for this bet are 1.59.

Corner Totals Analysis

Olympiakos averages 5.8 corners per match, while Real Madrid averages 7.4. In the last five matches, Olympiakos exceeded 9.5 corners twice, Real Madrid three times. For corner totals: over 9.25 is priced at 1.53, under 9.25 at 2.28. Real Madrid is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.41. The corner statistics suggest that both teams are capable of maintaining high activity near the goals, and a bet on over 9.25 corners seems logical, considering both sides' averages.