Prediction for match Operario — Ferroviária, 23.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On November 23, as part of Brazil's Serie B, Operario will face Ferroviária. The odds for a win are distributed as follows: Ferroviária is priced at 2.51, Operario at 2.75, and a draw at 3.15. In terms of probability percentages: Ferroviária has a 36.91% chance, Operario 33.69%, and a draw is evaluated at 29.41%. Ferroviária holds a slight edge in probability, but overall the balance of power is close to parity.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Operario has an average possession of 42.2%, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 17.8 fouls, and 0.2 offsides per game. Ferroviária leads in possession with 50.4%, records 2.2 yellows, 13.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In Operario's last three games: November 15, Atlético Goianiense - Operario 0-0, November 9, CRB - Operario 2-2, November 2, Operario - Vila Nova 2-2. For Ferroviária: November 16, Ferroviária - Athletico Paranaense 1-2, November 7, Athletic - Ferroviária 2-1, November 1, Ferroviária - Criciúma 0-0. In their head-to-head on July 26, Ferroviária and Operario played to a 0-0 draw - the under 2.5 goals bet was successful.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Operario's average goal tally over the last five matches is 2.6 goals per game, slightly lower than Ferroviária's 2.8. In their last five encounters, Operario saw over 2.5 goals in 3 matches, while Ferroviária did so in 4 out of 5. By halves: both teams had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 3 out of 5 matches, in the second half, Operario had 2, Ferroviária 1. Operario most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (38%), and concedes between the 16th and 30th (40%). Ferroviária has three equal peaks for scoring: 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 (29% each), and most often concedes between 31 and 45 (43%). These statistics suggest a tendency towards a high-scoring match, especially considering Ferroviária's four and Operario's three over 2.5 games. On average, both teams score 1.2, with Operario conceding 1.4 and Ferroviária 1.6. The overall dynamics of totals and goal distribution suggest a bet on over 2.0 goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In terms of corners, Operario averages 5 per match over five games, while Ferroviária averages 3.2. In three of their last five games, Operario exceeded 9.5 corners, while Ferroviária did so in 2 out of 5. The odds for over 10.5 corners are 2.04, under 10.5 is 1.69. Operario is the favorite in the corner market with odds of 1.73. Based on the teams' average activity, it's logical to consider a bet on Operario's individual corner total over 4.5 (odds of 1.44) or an overall total over 9.5, which occurred in three of Operario's last five matches.