Prediction for match Operario — Fluminense

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On April 24, in the Copa do Brasil, Operario will face Fluminense. According to the 1X2 odds, Fluminense is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.71, with a 54.46% chance of success. A draw is set at 3.50, corresponding to a 26.61% probability. An Operario win is at 4.92, with an 18.93% chance. These numbers reflect the bookmakers' confidence in Fluminense's advantage, but cup matches often bring surprises. It's important to remember that odds and percentages don't guarantee outcomes—they simply reflect the balance of power at the start.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Operario has improved their ball possession to 51.8%, averaging 2.6 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Fluminense shows even stronger possession at 62.4%, with 1.2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1 offside. Operario's last three matches were: April 18 - Vila Nova - Operario 2-1, April 12 - Operario - Cuiaba 0-0, April 5 - Avai - Operario 0-0. Fluminense in the same period: April 19 - Santos - Fluminense 2-3, April 16 - Fluminense - Independiente Rivadavia 1-2, April 12 - Fluminense - Flamengo 1-2. These results show that Fluminense often plays more offensively, while Operario focuses on defense. In the five-match series, Operario has a higher average of yellow cards than their opponent, and both teams are roughly equal in fouls. Notably, Fluminense's higher ball possession could influence the game's tempo control.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Operario's games went over 2.5 goals twice and under three times. Fluminense's games went over 2.5 goals three out of five times. Operario averages 1.4 goals per match, while Fluminense averages 2.6. Operario scores an average of 0.8 goals per game and concedes 0.6, whereas Fluminense scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4. By halves, Operario had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and never in the second, while Fluminense had it twice in the first half and three times in the second. Regarding goal intervals: Operario most frequently scores between 16-30 minutes (50%) and concedes most often from 31-45 minutes (67%). Fluminense's most productive period is 0-15 minutes (40% of goals), and they concede most frequently between 46-60 minutes (38%). These figures suggest Fluminense tends to play more openly and can score early, while Operario often plays cautiously. However, Fluminense's average total goals in matches are noticeably higher than their opponents, and both teams have had over 2.5 goals in at least two out of five matches. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified, considering Fluminense's attacking profile and frequent high-scoring games. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.25.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On corners, Operario averages 5 per game, while Fluminense averages 5.6. In the last five matches, the total corners over 9.5 occurred three times for both teams. According to the odds, for total corners at 9.5, there are two outcomes: over 9.5 is priced at 1.76, under 9.5 at 1.95. Based on average values, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, as both teams regularly take 5 or more corners per match. In the corners outcome, Fluminense is the favorite with odds of 1.63. It's also worth noting that both Operario and Fluminense have the same frequency of total corners over 9.5—3 out of 5, confirming stability in this metric. Overall, expect active wing play and a fair number of set pieces.