Prediction for match Osasuna — Mallorca

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the upcoming La Liga match between Osasuna and Mallorca on March 7, 2026, bookmakers have set the odds as follows: Osasuna to win at 1.80, a draw at 3.70, and Mallorca to win at 5.28. In terms of probability distribution, Osasuna is given a 54.72% chance, a draw 26.62%, and Mallorca 18.66%. This makes Osasuna the favorite, but the gap isn't large enough to completely count Mallorca out. Both teams have shown similar performance in terms of scoring in recent matches, adding extra intrigue to this encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Osasuna has maintained 43.4% possession, averaging 2.6 yellow cards, 15.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. During the same period, Mallorca has 41.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Osasuna's last three matches were: March 1 - Valencia 1-0 Osasuna, February 21 - Osasuna 2-1 Real Madrid, February 13 - Elche 0-0 Osasuna. Mallorca's last three results were losses: February 28 - Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca, February 22 - Celta 2-0 Mallorca, February 15 - Real Betis 2-1 Mallorca. The last head-to-head meeting on November 29, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have gone over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. Osasuna averages 2.2 goals per match, while Mallorca averages 2.8. Osasuna scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 1, whereas Mallorca scores 1 and concedes 1.8. In the first half, Osasuna has only gone over 1.5 goals once in five matches, while Mallorca has done so twice. In the second half, Osasuna went over 1.5 goals twice, and Mallorca three times. Goal intervals show Osasuna most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (33%), while Mallorca scores between the 76th and 90th minute (40%). Osasuna most often concedes between the 61st and 75th minute (40%), while Mallorca concedes between the 31st and 45th minute (75%). This data suggests both teams are inclined towards high-scoring matches, especially in the second half. Therefore, a bet on over 2.0 goals at odds of 1.64 seems justified, as both teams regularly participate in matches with two or more goals, and the timing of goals and over 2.5 trends support this choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

The average number of corners for both teams over the last 5 matches is the same - 3.8 per game. Osasuna has gone over 9.5 corners three times out of five, while Mallorca has done so four times. Among the totals with paired odds, the closest to the average sum (7.6) is the total of 7.5: over 7.5 - 1.24, under 7.5 - 3.34. There's also a line for total 8.5: over 8.5 - 1.47, under 8.5 - 2.42. For corners, Osasuna is favored with odds of 1.43. Given the stable corner stats, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 7.5 or 8.5, as both teams are capable of creating chances and regularly earning corners.