Prediction for match Real Oviedo — Mallorca

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

In La Liga on December 5th, Real Oviedo faces Mallorca. The odds for the match outcomes are quite close: a win for Real Oviedo is at 2.84, Mallorca is at 2.90, and a draw is at 3.15. In terms of probability percentages: 34.71% for a Real Oviedo win, 33.99% for Mallorca, and 31.30% for a draw. The balance of power in terms of odds and probabilities is almost equal, making the choice of the main prediction particularly interesting. Additional markets for totals and both teams to score are also available, but the spread of odds suggests that bookmakers do not expect a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Real Oviedo has an average possession of 49.4%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 12.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times per game. Mallorca, over the same period, shows 46.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Real Oviedo: lost 0-2 to Atletico Madrid on November 29, drew 0-0 with Rayo Vallecano on November 23, and lost 0-1 to Athletic Bilbao on November 9. Mallorca in their last three games: won 3-2 against Numancia on December 2, drew 2-2 with Osasuna on November 29, and lost 1-2 to Villarreal on November 22. The last head-to-head match was on March 20, 2021, where Mallorca and Real Oviedo played to a 0-0 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Real Oviedo, in a five-match series, has an average total of 1.8 goals per game, scoring only 0.4 and conceding 1.4. Mallorca, over the same span, averages 3.2 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8. For over 2.5 goals: Real Oviedo had only 1 out of 5 matches go over, while Mallorca had 4 out of 5 with three or more goals. In the first half, Real Oviedo had only 1 out of 5 games with two or more goals, while Mallorca had 3 out of 5. In the second halves: Real Oviedo 1 out of 5 for over 1.5, Mallorca 2 out of 5. Real Oviedo most often scores between 16-30 minutes (60%) and concedes between 61-75 minutes (67%). Mallorca most frequently scores early in the match (0-15 minutes, 30%) and between 61-75 minutes (30%), and concedes either at the start (0-15, 33%) or the end (76-90, 33%). Overall, Mallorca has a noticeable over-profile, while Real Oviedo plays low, rarely scores, but also doesn't concede much. The main prediction is under 2.5 goals at 1.62, as Real Oviedo is extremely low-scoring, and Mallorca, despite their goal-heavy matches, faces an opponent capable of keeping the game tight. This choice is supported by Real Oviedo's low scoring and frequent unders in their matches.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Real Oviedo averages 4 corners per game, Mallorca 2.6. In the last five matches, both teams saw the over 9.5 corners hit 3 times out of 5. Among the corner totals presented, the line closest to the average total (6.6) is 7.5: over 7.5 corners is at 1.29, under 7.5 at 3.15. In the corner outcome market, Real Oviedo is favored at 1.76. Given the teams' average values and the frequency of the over 9.5 total, it's logical to consider the over 7.5 corners option, although the match could end closer to the teams' average values.