Prediction for match Real Oviedo — Rayo Vallecano, 23.11.2025

Match Analysis: Real Oviedo vs Rayo Vallecano

On November 23rd, a La Liga match will take place between Real Oviedo and Rayo Vallecano. The odds for the outcome are distributed as follows: a win for Real Oviedo is priced at 3.48, a draw at 3.42, and a win for Rayo Vallecano at 2.30. In terms of probability percentages, Real Oviedo has 28.32%, a draw is valued at 28.82%, and Rayo Vallecano is the favorite with 42.86%. These numbers indicate a clear tilt towards the visitors, but the narrow margin between the teams and a draw adds intrigue to the encounter.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Real Oviedo has an average possession of 51.2%, 2.4 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Rayo Vallecano, over the same period, averages 55.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. Recent matches for Real Oviedo: 09.11 Athletic Bilbao - Real Oviedo 1-0, 03.11 Real Oviedo - Osasuna 0-0, 28.10 Orense CF - Real Oviedo 4-2. For Rayo Vallecano: 09.11 Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid 0-0, 06.11 Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznan 3-2, 01.11 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 4-0. In their head-to-head, the last match was on 20.05.2021: Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo 4-1, where the total over 2.5 was achieved. Previous encounters also featured draws and high-scoring games.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Real Oviedo averages a total of 3 goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 2. Rayo Vallecano plays games with an average of 2.8 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. The over 2.5 total occurred for Real Oviedo 2 out of 5 times, for Rayo Vallecano 3 out of 5. By halves, Real Oviedo had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times, Rayo Vallecano also 3 out of 5, while Real Oviedo had no overs in the first half, Rayo Vallecano had 2. Real Oviedo most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Rayo Vallecano scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (40%). Real Oviedo concedes more often between the 61st and 75th and 76th and 90th minutes (29% each), while Rayo Vallecano concedes between the 0th and 15th minutes (50%). This spread of goals by time and interval suggests that both teams are capable of scoring, especially after the break. Considering both sides average at least 1 goal and both have seen overs in the second half, a bet on both teams to score seems justified.

Betting on Corners

Real Oviedo averages 4 corners in their last 5 games, while Rayo Vallecano averages 5.8. The total corners over 9.5 occurred for Real Oviedo 3 times, for Rayo Vallecano 4 times. The odds for total corners over 8.75 are 1.51, under 8.75 is 2.35. Rayo Vallecano is favored to win on corners with odds of 1.71. Given the attacking style of the visitors and their high corner count, it makes sense to consider a bet on Rayo Vallecano's individual total corners over 4.5 or the overall total over 8.75. The frequency of overs makes the choice for higher values justified.