Prediction for match Oxford United — Middlesbrough, 22.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Championship on November 22, Oxford United will face Middlesbrough. The odds for a Middlesbrough win are 2.05, a draw is priced at 3.30, and an Oxford United victory is at 3.62. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 25.89% for an Oxford United win, 28.40% for a draw, and 45.71% for a Middlesbrough victory. Middlesbrough is seen as the favorite according to the odds and probabilities; however, the share for a draw is quite significant, exceeding a quarter, which suggests a potentially tight match. The double chance in favor of Middlesbrough, as well as the total over 2.5, comes with odds above 2.0, hinting at moderate scoring and a certain caution from the bookmakers.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Oxford United averaged 43.8% possession, received 0.4 yellow cards, committed 8 fouls, and had 2 offsides per match. Middlesbrough, over the same period, showed 55.4% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 8.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Recent results for Oxford United: 08.11 - West Bromwich 2-1 Oxford United, 04.11 - Oxford United 0-3 Stoke City, 01.11 - Oxford United 2-2 Millwall. Middlesbrough's results: 08.11 - Middlesbrough 2-1 Birmingham, 04.11 - Leicester 1-1 Middlesbrough, 01.11 - Watford 3-0 Middlesbrough. In their head-to-head on March 29, 2025, Middlesbrough and Oxford United played 2-1, with the total over 2.5 goals. Previously, on November 23, 2024, Oxford United lost to Middlesbrough 2-6, where the over total was also hit.

Goals by Match Statistics

In terms of scoring, Oxford United stands out: in their last five matches, they went over 2.5 goals four times, with one match going under. For Middlesbrough, 2 out of 5 matches went over 2.5, with three going under. By halves, Oxford had 3 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second. Middlesbrough's first half went over in 2 out of 5 cases, and the second half never went over 1.5 goals. Average figures over five games: Oxford United - 2.8 goals per match, 1 scored and 1.8 conceded; Middlesbrough - 2.2 goals, 1 scored, 1.2 conceded. Oxford United most often scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (33%), while Middlesbrough scores frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%). In terms of goals conceded: Oxford's peak interval is 0-15 minutes (38%), and Middlesbrough's is also 0-15 minutes (50%). This breakdown and frequent over 2.5 totals for Oxford United, as well as high first half over 1.5 figures, make the bet on total goals over 2.5 at 2.03 a logical choice.

Corner Bets

Oxford United averages 5.2 corners per game, Middlesbrough exactly 5. In the last five games, Oxford went over 9.5 corners four times, while Middlesbrough did so only once. Odds for total corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.77, under 9.5 at 1.94. Middlesbrough is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.54. However, both teams have similar corner statistics, and Oxford's frequency of hitting the over total is higher, making the bet on over 9.5 corners justified given current trends.