Prediction for match Oxford United — Sunderland

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The FA Cup continues to deliver intriguing matchups, and the clash between Oxford United and Sunderland on 15.02.2026 is no exception. According to the bookmakers, Sunderland is the favorite with odds of 1.67 to win, while Oxford United is offered at 4.88, and a draw is priced at 3.80. The probabilities of outcomes are distributed as follows: Oxford United win - 19.21%, draw - 24.67%, Sunderland win - 56.13%. This reflects Sunderland's advantage in current form and recent match statistics.

Team Statistics and Scores

Looking at additional metrics, Oxford United's five-match series shows 31.6% possession, an average of 3.6 yellow cards, 10 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. During the same period, Sunderland exhibits 50% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game on average. In their last three matches, Oxford United lost to Norwich City 0-3 (10.02.2026), drew with Coventry 0-0 (07.02.2026), and lost to Sheffield United 1-3 (03.02.2026). Sunderland recently lost to Liverpool 0-1 (11.02.2026), Arsenal 0-3 (07.02.2026), but defeated Burnley 3-0 (02.02.2026). The last head-to-head between these teams was on 26.04.2025, with Oxford United winning 2-0.

Team Scoring Streaks

In terms of scoring, Oxford United's last five matches saw over 2.5 goals in 3 cases and under in 2. For Sunderland, over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times, under 1. Oxford United had 2 out of 5 games with two or more goals in the first half, while Sunderland had 3 out of 5. In the second half, Oxford United had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Sunderland only 1 out of 5. Average figures over 5 games: Oxford United 2.4 goals per match, scoring 0.6, conceding 1.8; Sunderland 2.8 goals per game, scoring 1.2, conceding 1.6. In terms of goal timing, Oxford United most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%) and concedes in the first 15 minutes (38%). Sunderland's most frequent goals come between 31-45 minutes (36%), and they concede most between 61-75 minutes (67%). Given Sunderland's higher scoring and total stats, while Oxford United has low scoring, a logical choice is a bet on BTTS: No at 1.69.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For corners, Oxford United averages 2.2 over 5 matches, Sunderland 2.4. In the last 5 games, over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times for Oxford United, once for Sunderland. Among corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (4.6) is 7.5, 8, 8.5, and 9.5. For a total of 9.5, both quotes are available: over 9.5 at 1.72, under 9.5 at 2.05. In terms of corner outcomes, Sunderland is favored with odds of 1.54. Given the low averages in corner deliveries, a bet on under 9.5 corners seems justified, but Oxford United's frequency requires caution.