Prediction for match Pachuca — Necaxa

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on March 4, Pachuca faces Necaxa. The odds for the outcomes are: Pachuca's win at 1.84, a draw at 3.60, and Necaxa's win at 3.96. In terms of probabilities: Pachuca has 50.61%, Necaxa has 23.52%, and a draw is at 25.87%. Pachuca is the favorite according to both odds and probabilities, but Necaxa can put up a fight, considering their recent performance. Interestingly, in the last five matches, both teams have been scoring points and showing varied dynamics in attack and defense.

Team Results and Statistics

On average, in the last five games, Pachuca had 49.4% possession, received 2.2 yellow cards, committed 17.8 fouls, and had 0.6 offsides per match. Necaxa's stats: 46.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Pachuca played as follows: 28.02.2026 Mazatlán - Pachuca 1-0, 21.02.2026 Tigres UANL - Pachuca 1-2, 14.02.2026 Pachuca - Atlas 3-1. Necaxa's last three games: 01.03.2026 León - Necaxa 2-1, 22.02.2026 Necaxa - Toluca 0-3, 15.02.2026 Juárez - Necaxa 1-2. The last head-to-head was on 04.10.2025: Necaxa - Pachuca 0-1.

How Many Goals in the Pachuca vs Necaxa Match

In the last five matches, Pachuca played over 2.5 goals twice and under three times, while Necaxa saw over 2.5 goals four times and under once. On average: Pachuca's matches see 2 goals, Necaxa's - 3.2. Both teams average 1.4 goals scored per game, but Necaxa concedes more - 1.8 compared to Pachuca's 0.6. By halves: Pachuca's goals_1st_half_over_1_5 occurred once out of 5, goals_2nd_half_over_1_5 - 2 out of 5. Necaxa had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 times out of 5, in the second half - 3 out of 5. Pachuca most often scores between 31-45 minutes (57%), while Necaxa scores in the same 31-45 (33%) and 61-75 (33%) intervals. In terms of conceding: Pachuca most often concedes late (76-90, 67%), Necaxa similarly - 76-90 (71%). Considering Necaxa's high scoring, Pachuca's average scoring, and Necaxa's frequent over 2.5 goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.77 is logical.

Analysis of Total Corners

Pachuca averages 4.4 corners per match, Necaxa - 3. In a series of five games, Pachuca had total corners over 9.5 twice, Necaxa - three times. Among the offered totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum (7.4) is 7.5: total corners over 7.5 is at 1.26, under 7.5 - at 3.37. There's also a line at 8.5: over 8.5 - 1.47, under 8.5 - 2.50. Pachuca is favored for corners with odds of 1.64. Considering the average corner activity of both teams, a bet on over 7.5 or 8.5 looks justified, but no large spikes in this indicator are observed. In recent matches, teams have not shown extreme values for corners, which is confirmed by the frequency of over 9.5 totals.