Prediction for match Pachuca — Santos Laguna

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

On April 12th in Liga MX, Pachuca will face Santos Laguna. According to the 1X2 odds, Pachuca is the favorite: their win is priced at 1.40, a draw at 4.75, and a Santos Laguna win at 6.73. The probabilities are as follows: Pachuca - 66.54%, draw - 19.61%, Santos Laguna - 13.84%. This suggests a significant advantage for Pachuca, though a draw is also a possibility according to the odds. Bookmakers consider a Pachuca victory the most likely outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

Pachuca has been in good form over the last five matches: on April 5th, they defeated Cruz Azul 2-1, drew 1-1 with Toluca on March 22nd, also drew 1-1 with Atlético San Luis on March 14th, won 2-1 against Puebla on March 8th, and beat Necaxa 2-1 on March 4th. Meanwhile, Santos Laguna: drew 1-1 with Club América on April 5th, won 2-1 against Puebla on March 22nd, lost 0-3 to Guadalajara on March 14th, defeated Tijuana 2-1 on March 9th, and lost 1-2 to Cruz Azul on March 4th. In their last head-to-head on November 9, 2025, Santos Laguna beat Pachuca 1-0. In the last 5 matches, Pachuca had 45% possession, averaged 2.6 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Santos Laguna had 44.6% possession, 3 yellow cards, 16.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Pachuca has an average total goal count of 2.6 per game, scoring an average of 1.6 and conceding 1. Santos Laguna has a total average of 2.8, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. For matches exceeding 2.5 total goals: Pachuca has seen 3 out of 5 go over, while Santos Laguna has 4 out of 5. By halves, Pachuca has 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 1 out of 5 in the second half, while Santos Laguna has 1 out of 5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second half. Goal intervals show Pachuca most frequently scores between the 31st-45th minutes (43%) and concedes between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Santos Laguna often scores in three consecutive intervals after halftime: 46th-60th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th (25% each) and concedes most often in the final minutes (76th-90th, 50%). Considering the high scoring nature of both teams, frequent over 2.5 goals in games, and Santos Laguna's strong second halves, betting on over 2.75 goals at 1.51 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Pachuca averages 5.6 corners per game, Santos Laguna 5.4. In their last 5 matches, Pachuca had over 9.5 corners 3 times, Santos Laguna 2 times. Among available corner totals, the 9.5 line stands out: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.68, under 9.5 at 2.05. For corners, Pachuca is the favorite with odds of 1.39. In this scenario, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering both teams' combined stats and recent match trends. Additionally, both teams consistently win at least 5 corners per game, supporting the idea of a match rich in corners.