Prediction for match Pachuca — Toluca

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

On March 22, in Liga MX, Pachuca will face Toluca. According to the 1X2 odds, Toluca is the favorite with odds of 1.91 for a win, 3.58 for a draw, and 3.70 for Pachuca's victory. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Pachuca win - 25.18%, draw - 26.03%, Toluca win - 48.79%. For total goals over 2.5, the odds are 1.73, and under 2.5 is 2.05. Both teams to score: yes is 1.62, no is 2.16. For individual team totals: Pachuca over 1 is 1.85, Toluca over 1.5 is 1.83. Double chance odds are 1X at 1.82, X2 at 1.24, and 12 at 1.26.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Pachuca has averaged 50.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 17 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Toluca boasts higher possession at 62.6%, with the same number of yellow cards - 2.2, fewer fouls - 9.6, and 2.2 offsides. In the last three matches, Pachuca played as follows: March 14 - Atletico San Luis 1-1 Pachuca, March 8 - Pachuca 2-1 Puebla, March 4 - Pachuca 2-1 Necaxa. Toluca's last three results were: March 19 - Toluca 4-0 San Diego, March 15 - Toluca 1-1 Atlas, March 12 - San Diego 3-2 Toluca. In their head-to-head on October 27, 2025, Toluca and Pachuca drew 2-2.

Goals Statistics

In the last five matches, Pachuca has an average total goals of 2.4, while Toluca has 4. For goals scored: Pachuca - 1.4, Toluca - 2.6, and conceded - 1 and 1.4 respectively. For over 2.5 goals: Pachuca has 3 out of 5, Toluca has 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for Pachuca and twice for Toluca, in the second half Pachuca had 2 times, Toluca 5 out of 5. Pachuca scores most frequently between 31-45 minutes (57%), while Toluca scores between 46-60 (38%). Pachuca concedes mainly at the end (76-90, 80%), Toluca also concedes most frequently in this interval (43%). Considering Toluca's high scoring profile, frequent over 2.5 goals for both teams, and Toluca's strong goal record, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.73 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Pachuca averages 5.4 corners per match, while Toluca averages 7.4. In the last five games, Pachuca's total over 9.5 corners occurred twice, Toluca's occurred three times. Odds for total corners: over 8.5 is 1.54, under 8.5 is 2.31. Toluca to win on corners is priced at 1.80. Given that both teams consistently deliver a high number of corners, and the combined average is 12.8, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified. Toluca has recently outperformed opponents in this aspect, as confirmed by their average statistics.