Prediction for match Padova — Carrarese

Match Analysis: Padova vs Carrarese

In Italy's Serie B, Padova will face Carrarese on February 10th. The odds for the match are quite close: a win for Padova is at 2.75, a draw at 2.81, and a victory for Carrarese at 2.83. The probabilities are almost evenly split: Padova has a 33.89% chance, a draw is at 33.17%, and Carrarese is at 32.94%. This balance suggests that the bookmakers see no clear favorite, and the match is expected to be closely contested. There are also options for totals and individual player performances, offering interesting betting possibilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Padova has an average ball possession of 47.6%, averages 2.4 yellow cards, makes 13.6 fouls, and gets caught offside 2.2 times per game. Carrarese holds the ball 47% of the time, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 10 fouls, and gets caught offside 0.6 times. In their last three matches, Padova's results were: February 7th - Juve Stabia 3-3 Padova, February 1st - Padova 1-2 Monza, January 25th - Südtirol 3-0 Padova. Carrarese's last three games: February 7th - Carrarese 0-0 Südtirol, January 31st - Venezia 2-1 Carrarese, January 23rd - Carrarese 3-0 Empoli. In their head-to-head meeting on August 31, 2025, Carrarese and Padova ended 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Padova has an average total of 3.4 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2 goals per game. Carrarese is more modest in these metrics: 2 goals on average per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding just 0.6. For matches with over 2.5 goals, Padova has 4 out of 5, and Carrarese has 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for Padova and once for Carrarese. In the second half, both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals. Looking at time intervals, Padova most frequently scores between minutes 76-90 (40%), while Carrarese scores either in the 16-30 or 76-90 intervals (29% each). Padova concedes most often at the end (76-90, 43%), Carrarese at the start (0-15, 33%) and in the 46-60 and 61-75 intervals (33% each). The goal dynamics suggest both teams are capable of scoring, but Padova's defense is vulnerable. Meanwhile, Carrarese shows solid defense, as evidenced by their low average goals conceded. Considering the over 2.5 goals rate and average scoring, a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.56 seems logical. This option allows for a refund with two goals and a win with three or more.

Corner Totals Analysis

Padova averages 3.6 corners over their last five matches, while Carrarese averages 5. For corner totals over 9.5, Padova has 2 out of 5, and Carrarese has 3 out of 5. The combined average corners for both teams (8.6) suggests a total closest to 9.5. The odds for this total are: over 9.5 at 2.10, under 9.5 at 1.68. The line also features an outcome for corners with no clear favorite. Statistics indicate a moderate number of corners, so a bet on over 9.5 corners could be interesting with the associated risk. Overall, both teams are capable of creating chances, which could lead to an increase in corners.