Prediction for match Padova — Cesena, 08.12.2025

Odds and Probabilities of the Match Outcome

The match between Padova and Cesena in the Italian Serie B will take place on December 8, 2025. In the 1X2 betting market, Cesena is the favorite with odds of 2.42, a draw is priced at 2.88, and a victory for Padova is at 3.26. In terms of probability percentages: Padova win - 28.74%, draw - 32.54%, Cesena win - 38.72%. Bookmakers see Cesena as the most likely winner, but the differences are not huge. Additionally, for the total goals over 2.5, the odds are 2.48, and for under 2.5, it's 1.52, indicating a tendency towards a low-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at ball possession, Padova averages 47.2% over their last five games, while Cesena averages 44.8%. For yellow cards, Padova has 4.4 per game, and Cesena has 1.4. Fouls are recorded 16.2 times per match for Padova and 13.6 for Cesena, with offsides at 1.4 for Padova and 2.6 for Cesena. In their last three matches, Padova played: 29.11.2025 Pescara - Padova 0-1, 22.11.2025 Padova - Venezia 0-2, 08.11.2025 Mantova - Padova 1-0. Cesena's last three games: 28.11.2025 Cesena - Modena 1-0, 23.11.2025 Monza - Cesena 1-0, 09.11.2025 Cesena - Avellino 3-0. In their head-to-head on 04.08.2024, Cesena defeated Padova 3-1.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Padova vs. Cesena

In their last five matches, Padova did not see over 2.5 goals in any - 0 out of 5 for over, 5 out of 5 for under. Cesena had a different scenario: 2 out of 5 for over 2.5, 3 out of 5 for under. On average, Padova has 1.6 total goals, Cesena 1.8. Padova scores 0.6 goals per game and concedes 1, while Cesena scores 1.2 and concedes 0.6. By halves, Padova never had more than 1.5 goals in either half over their last five matches. Cesena had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5, and in the second half in 1 out of 5. Padova most often scores between the 76th-90th minute (67%), and concedes between the 61st-75th minute (40%). Cesena most frequently scores between the 31st-45th minute (50%), and concedes in two intervals: 16th-30th and 61st-75th minutes - 50% each. Overall, the statistics of both teams suggest a low-scoring game: Padova has a clear under-profile, and Cesena shows moderate scoring without a consistent over-profile. The odds for under 2.5 goals are 1.52, which seems a logical choice given recent trends.

Corner Betting

Padova averages 3.8 corners over five matches, and Cesena 5.6. Both teams have the same record for corners over 9.5: 2 out of 5 for over, 3 out of 5 for under. Among the totals with a pair of odds closest to the combined average (3.8 + 5.6 = 9.4) is the 9.5 total: over 9.5 is at 2.11, under 9.5 is at 1.63. For corners, Cesena is the favorite with odds of 1.73. Overall, you can expect 8-10 corners in the match, and a bet on total corners closer to 9-10 looks most justified based on recent game statistics.