Prediction for match Padova — Empoli

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In Italy's Serie B on April 12, 2026, Padova will face Empoli. According to the 1X2 odds, Empoli is the favorite with odds of 2.32 and a 40.39% probability of winning. A draw is priced at 3.10 (30.23%), while a victory for Padova is at 3.19 (29.38%). Among the goal totals, the over 2.5 goals bet stands out at 2.00, and both teams to score: yes is at 1.74, no at 1.98. For individual team totals, Padova over 1 is at 1.79, and Empoli over 1.5 is at 2.12. In the first half, over 1 goal is at 2.00, and in the second half, over 1.5 goals is at 2.16. For corner outcomes, Empoli is the favorite with odds of 1.82.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Padova has averaged 45.8% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. During the same period, Empoli has 50.6% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 20.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last three games, Padova lost to Frosinone 0-2 (04/05/2026), Palermo 0-1 (03/21/2026), and Venezia 1-3 (03/17/2026). Empoli lost to Sampdoria 0-1 (04/06/2026), beat Pescara 4-2 (03/22/2026), and drew with Spezia 1-1 (03/17/2026). In the head-to-head match on 08/23/2025, Empoli defeated Padova 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Padova has an average total of 2.4 goals, scoring 0.4 and conceding 2 goals per game. Empoli has an average total of 3.6, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.8. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Padova and 3 out of 5 for Empoli. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened once for Padova and 3 times for Empoli. In the second half, Padova had 2 out of 5, and Empoli 4 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals. Padova tends to score between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each), while conceding mostly at the end (76th-90th minutes - 60%). Empoli scores most frequently between the 61st-75th minutes (36%) and concedes early (0-15 minutes - 29%) and towards the end of the first half (31st-45th minutes - 29%). Given Empoli's high scoring and Padova's weak defense, betting on over 2.5 goals at 2.00 seems logical. Padova struggles in attack, but Empoli's defense isn't solid, increasing the chances for a high-scoring match. Over 2.5 goals occurred in at least 2 of the last 5 games for both teams, and Empoli's average goal stats support the choice of an over total bet.

Corner Bets

Padova and Empoli average 4.2 corners per match in their last five games. Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 out of 5 games for both teams. The line offers a total corners bet of 9.5: over 9.5 is at 1.80, under 9.5 at 1.88. Empoli is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.82. Considering the average corner activity and frequent over 9.5 totals, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. Individual corner totals for both teams can also be considered, given their consistent performance in this area.