Prediction for match Padova — Palermo

Match Analysis: Padova vs Palermo

In Serie B on March 21, 2026, Padova will face Palermo in a match that draws attention not only due to the status of the teams but also due to the odds distribution. In the 1X2 market, Palermo is the clear favorite with odds of 1.75 for their victory, a draw is at 3.58, and a win for Padova is valued at 4.66. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Padova win - 20.14%, draw - 26.22%, Palermo win - 53.64%. These figures indicate a significant advantage for the visitors, but the goal and total statistics for both teams promise an intriguing battle on the field. Additional markets for goal totals and both teams to score also show high odds, which might be appealing to fans of high-scoring games.

Team Results and Statistics

Padova has shown inconsistent results in their last five matches: a 1-3 loss to Venezia (17.03.2026), a 1-3 home defeat to Catanzaro (14.03.2026), a narrow 0-1 loss to Avellino (07.03.2026), a 2-2 draw with Spezia (03.03.2026), and a 2-1 victory over Modena (28.02.2026). During the same period, Palermo drew 2-2 with Juve Stabia (17.03.2026), lost 0-3 to Monza (14.03.2026), beat Carrarese 1-0 (08.03.2026), overcame Mantova 2-1 (04.03.2026), and lost 1-2 to Pescara (01.03.2026). On average over the five matches, Padova has 43.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. Palermo averages 51.2% possession, 3 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on December 27, 2025, Palermo defeated Padova 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams show a tendency towards high-scoring matches: 4 out of Padova's last 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals, and the same goes for Palermo. The average total goals over the last five matches are 3.2 for Padova and 2.8 for Palermo. Both teams score an average of 1.2 goals per game, with Padova conceding 2 and Palermo 1.6. In terms of halves, Padova has 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. For Palermo, it's 1 out of 5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. Padova most frequently scores and concedes between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%), while Palermo scores most often between the 46th and 60th, 61st and 75th, and 76th and 90th minutes (22% each) and concedes most often between the 61st and 75th minutes (40%). This data supports a bet on over 2.0 total goals with odds of 1.51, as both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches, and their defenses are not particularly solid.

Corner Totals Analysis

In terms of average corners over the last five matches, Padova has 3.2, and Palermo has 7, totaling 10.2. Padova's matches exceeded 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 games, and Palermo's in 4 out of 5. Among the available totals, the 9.5 line is closest to the average sum: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.82, under 9.5 at 1.86. Palermo is the favorite to win the corner count with odds of 1.60. Based on this data, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, as both teams regularly deliver many corners, and the average exceeds the chosen line. Additionally, Palermo consistently outperforms their opponent in this component, as confirmed by the odds for winning on corners.