Prediction for match Padova — Venezia, 22.11.2025

Match Analysis: Padova vs Venezia

On November 22, Padova will face Venezia in Italy's Serie B. Venezia is favored in the odds with a 1.82 chance of winning, reflecting a 51.54% probability. A draw is priced at 3.54 (26.50%), while a victory for Padova is at 4.27 (21.97%). This indicates Venezia's advantage in pre-match assessments. The odds for the main outcomes show a significant gap between the teams, with a considerable chance of a draw as well.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Padova had 47.2% ball possession, averaged 3.8 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 1 offside per game. Venezia appears more confident with 65.8% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 1.6 offsides on average. In their last three matches, Padova played as follows: on November 8, Mantova beat Padova 1-0, on November 1, Padova drew with Südtirol 1-1, and on October 29, Spezia drew with Padova 1-1. During the same period, Venezia defeated Sampdoria 3-1 (November 8), lost to Catanzaro 1-2 (November 2), and beat Südtirol 3-0 (October 29). In their last head-to-head on January 27, 2019, Venezia defeated Padova 2-1, with the total over 2.5 goals being achieved.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Padova's last five games, only 1 out of 5 ended with over 2.5 goals, whereas Venezia had 4 out of 5 such matches. In the first half, Padova had over 1.5 goals twice, while Venezia had this in 4 out of 5 matches. In the second half, Padova had only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while Venezia had 3 out of 5. On average, Padova scores and concedes 1 goal per match, while Venezia scores 2 and concedes 1.4, with an overall goal total of 3.4. Padova most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each), conceding most often between the 31st-45th minutes (60%). Venezia's scoring peak is between the 31st-45th minutes (42%), and they concede most frequently between the 61st-75th minutes (40%). The statistics indicate a significant difference in attacking potential: Venezia regularly exceeds their individual total over 1.5, and their matches are often high-scoring. Considering the recent dynamics and Venezia's attacking form, a bet on Venezia's individual total over 1.5 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

In the last five games, Padova averaged 2.4 corners per match, while Venezia averaged 3.8. For a total over 9.5 corners, Padova had only 1 out of 5, while Venezia had 2 out of 5. The line for total corners offers over 8.5 at 1.54, and under 8.5 at 2.22. Venezia is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.69. The corner statistics suggest that both teams rarely exceed 9.5, so a bet on under 8.5 corners seems justified, although Venezia's attacking style could increase activity in this area.