Prediction for match Paks — MTK Budapest, 06.12.2025

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

On December 6th, a National Championship I match will take place between Paks and MTK Budapest. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Paks win is at 1.64, a draw is at 4.05, and a victory for MTK Budapest is at 4.16. In terms of percentages: Paks has a 55.58% chance to win, a draw is at 22.51%, and MTK Budapest has a 21.91% chance. These figures make Paks the favorite, with a noticeable gap in probability between the teams. The chances of a draw or an MTK Budapest win are rated similarly but are lower than Paks' chances of success.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Paks has average stats: 50.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. MTK Budapest shows 48.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2 offsides over the same period. In Paks' last three games: 29.11 - Zalaegerszeg vs. Paks 1-0, 23.11 - Paks vs. Újpest 1-3, 08.11 - Paks vs. Kisvárda 5-3. MTK Budapest played as follows: 23.11 - Diósgyőr vs. MTK Budapest 4-0, 09.11 - MTK Budapest vs. Debrecen 3-0, 01.11 - Ferencváros vs. MTK Budapest 4-1. In their last head-to-head on August 24th, MTK Budapest lost to Paks 2-3.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Paks vs. MTK Budapest Match

Both teams have an average total of 3.6 goals in their last five matches. Paks scores 1.6 and concedes 2, while MTK Budapest scores 1.8 and concedes 1.8. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Paks has 3 out of 5 matches over, and MTK Budapest has 4 out of 5 matches over. In the first half, Paks has only 1 out of 5 over 1.5, while MTK Budapest has 2 out of 5. However, in the second half, Paks recorded 4 out of 5 over 1.5, and MTK Budapest 3 out of 5. In terms of intervals: Paks scores and concedes most frequently between 46-60 minutes (50% and 33% respectively), while MTK Budapest distributes their goals evenly from 16-90 minutes (19% each), but concedes mostly in the final stages - 61-75 and 76-90 (50% each). This profile of both teams with regular over 2.5 goals, high goal averages, and noticeable second-half performance suggests considering a bet on over 3.0 goals at 1.55 as the main option.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Paks delivers 6.4 corners in 5 games, while MTK Budapest delivers 3.4. Regarding over 9.5 corners: Paks has 2 out of 5 matches over, and MTK Budapest has 4 out of 5 matches over. The odds for over 9.5 corners are at 1.50, while under 9.5 is at 2.36. Paks is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.31. Considering both teams average 9.8 corners per match, it is logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 total corners or Paks' advantage in this aspect.