Prediction for match Paks — Ujpest, 23.11.2025

Match Analysis: Paks vs Ujpest

In the Hungarian NB I on November 23, Paks will face Ujpest. The odds for a Paks victory are 1.78, while a draw and a win for Ujpest are both at 3.72. The probability distribution for the outcomes is: Paks - 51.10%, draw - 24.45%, Ujpest - 24.45%. Paks is the favorite for this match, with significantly better chances than their opponent. Options for totals and other outcomes are less significant at the start of the analysis, as the main expectations are based on the home team's higher probability of winning.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Paks has maintained average figures: possession 49.2%, yellow cards - 2.2, fouls - 14.4, offsides - 1.8. Ujpest, over the same period, shows possession at 50.4%, yellow cards - 2.6, fouls - 10.2, offsides - 2. In their last three matches: November 8 - Paks vs Kisvárda 5-3, October 25 - Diósgyőr vs Paks 2-1, October 18 - Paks vs Debrecen 1-1. Ujpest: November 2 - Diósgyőr vs Ujpest 1-3, October 26 - Debrecen vs Ujpest 5-2, October 19 - Ujpest vs Ferencváros 1-1. In their last head-to-head on August 10, Ujpest lost to Paks 1-2, with the total over 2.5 goals coming through.

Goals by Match Statistics

In their last five matches, Paks has hit the over 2.5 goals mark 4 times, Ujpest 3 times. By halves: Paks has gone over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 out of 5 times and 5 out of 5 in the second half, Ujpest 2 out of 5 and 2 out of 5 respectively. Paks scores an average of 2.4 and concedes 2, with a total match average of 4.4. Ujpest during this period scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8, with a total goal average of 3.2. Most frequent goal intervals: Paks scores between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (38% each), Ujpest between 16-30 minutes (38%). Paks concedes more often in the final minutes (76-90, 33%), Ujpest in the intervals 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (25% each). Given Paks' high scoring rate, regular over 2.5 totals, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.75 goals seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Paks averages 7 corners per match, Ujpest 5.8. In the last five matches, Paks has hit over 9.5 corners 3 times, Ujpest 5 times out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.55, under is 2.27. In terms of corner outcomes, Paks is the favorite with odds of 1.49. Considering both teams often deliver 6 or more corners and the consistent over 9.5 totals in their five-match series, a bet on over 9.5 corners appears logical.