Prediction for match Palmeiras — Cerro Porteno

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno

On May 21, 2026, Palmeiras and Cerro Porteno will face off in the Copa Libertadores. The odds for a Palmeiras victory stand at 1.33, a draw at 5.10, and a win for Cerro Porteno at 10.60. Probability-wise: Palmeiras - 72.14%, draw - 18.81%, Cerro Porteno - 9.05%. Palmeiras is the favorite, which is also confirmed by the statistics of recent encounters between these teams. In their last five head-to-head matches, Palmeiras has won three times, with two draws, and Cerro Porteno has not won. Palmeiras is expected to have the upper hand in this matchup, but the odds for a straight win do not meet the minimum threshold for the main prediction, so it is worth considering the markets for totals and both teams to score.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Palmeiras has an average possession of 58.4%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 10.8 fouls, and is caught offside 3.6 times per game. Cerro Porteno, over the same period, has 50% possession, 1 yellow card, 11.2 fouls, and 1 offside on average. In their last three matches, Palmeiras drew 1-1 with Cruzeiro (05/17/2026), defeated Jacuipense 4-1 (05/14/2026), and drew 1-1 with Remo (05/10/2026). Cerro Porteno lost to Sportivo Trinidense 1-3 (05/15/2026), drew 0-0 with Guarani (05/11/2026), and beat Junior Barranquilla 1-0 (05/08/2026). The last head-to-head meeting between the teams took place on 04/30/2026 and ended 1-1.

How Many Goals in Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno Match

In the last five matches, Palmeiras has an average total goals of 2.6, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8 per game. Cerro Porteno has an average total goals of 2, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals, Palmeiras has only 1 out of 5, while Cerro Porteno has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Palmeiras recorded more than 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, but only 1 out of 5 in the second half. Cerro Porteno has 1 out of 5 in both halves for over 1.5 goals. In terms of goal timing, Palmeiras most frequently scores in the 0-15, 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (25% each), and concedes most often in the 16-30 minute interval (44%). Cerro Porteno scores most frequently in the 46-60 minute interval (33%) and concedes evenly across four intervals: 0-15, 16-30, 31-45, and 61-75 minutes (25% each). Given the low over 2.5 goals frequency and Cerro Porteno's modest scoring, it's logical to consider the option of both teams not to score, which is at 1.58. Palmeiras has a solid defense, and Cerro Porteno rarely scores more than one goal per match. In this scenario, betting on no goals from both sides seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

In the last 5 matches, Palmeiras averages 9 corners, while Cerro Porteno averages 2.6. For the over 9.5 corners total, Palmeiras has 4 out of 5, while Cerro Porteno has only 1 out of 5. Among the lines for corner totals, the closest to the sum of averages (11.6) is the 11.5 total. The odds for over 11.5 corners are 3.19, and for under 1.30. In the corner outcome, Palmeiras is the favorite with odds of 1.19. Considering the difference in average corners and Palmeiras' frequency of hitting the over, it makes sense to consider the option for over 9.5 corners, which is at 1.89, or Palmeiras' advantage in corners. It's also worth noting that Palmeiras consistently maintains a high number of corner kicks, which could influence the match dynamics.