Prediction for match Palmeiras — Fluminense, 23.11.2025

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs. Fluminense

On November 23, Palmeiras will face Fluminense in a Serie A clash. According to bookmakers, Palmeiras is the favorite with odds of 1.56 for a win, 4.12 for a draw, and 6.27 for a Fluminense victory. The probability distribution is 61.45% for a Palmeiras win, 23.27% for a draw, and 15.29% for a Fluminense win. Based on these figures, expectations lean towards a home victory, but Fluminense could pose some challenges.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at their last five matches, Palmeiras has an average possession of 52.6%, 1.4 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Fluminense maintains 53.8% possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 17 fouls, and records 1.2 offsides per game. In their last three games, Palmeiras played as follows: 19.11 - Palmeiras vs. Vitória 0-0, 16.11 - Santos vs. Palmeiras 1-0, 09.11 - Mirassol vs. Palmeiras 2-1. Fluminense's last three games were: 09.11 - Cruzeiro vs. Fluminense 0-0, 06.11 - Fluminense vs. Mirassol 1-0, 02.11 - Ceará vs. Fluminense 2-0. In their last head-to-head on 23.07.2025, Fluminense lost to Palmeiras 1-2, and the total over 2.5 was achieved.

Goals Statistics

In the last five matches, Palmeiras has only once exceeded the total over 2.5, with four games ending under. Fluminense has not once exceeded the total over 2.5, with all five games ending under. By halves, Palmeiras exceeded the total over 1.5 once in both the first and second halves, while Fluminense did not. Palmeiras averages 1.6 goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 0.6. Fluminense averages a total of 1.0, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.4. By intervals, Palmeiras often scores towards the end — 40% of goals from the 76th to the 90th minute, and concedes between the 16th and 30th minutes (67%). Fluminense scores 40% of their goals between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes. Both teams are currently playing defensively, with only one match exceeding the total over 2.5 in their last 10 combined games. Based on this data, a bet on total under 2.5 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Palmeiras averages 6.4 corners per game, while Fluminense averages 5. In their last five games, Palmeiras exceeded the total over 9.5 corners 3 times, and Fluminense only once. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.74, and for under 9.5 corners are 2.02. For corners, Palmeiras is the favorite with odds of 1.40. Based on the statistics, exceeding the total over 9.5 corners is more likely, but a bet on Palmeiras' individual corner total also looks interesting.