Prediction for match Palmeiras — Mirassol

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A, on March 15, 2026, Palmeiras will face Mirassol. The 1X2 odds are as follows: a victory for Palmeiras is priced at 1.64, a draw is at 4.22, and a win for Mirassol is valued at 5.15. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 58.58% for a Palmeiras win, 22.77% for a draw, and 18.65% for Mirassol. Palmeiras is considered the favorite, but Mirassol has shown strong performances in recent matches, which could influence the overall nature of the game. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.75, while under 2.5 is at 2.12, reflecting an expectation of a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Palmeiras has demonstrated consistent stats in additional parameters: 54% ball possession, an average of 1.2 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Mirassol has higher ball possession at 62.6%, with 2.6 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In the last three matches, Palmeiras played as follows: Vasco da Gama 2-1 Palmeiras on March 12, 2026, Novorizontino 1-2 Palmeiras on March 8, 2026, Palmeiras 1-0 Novorizontino on March 4, 2026. Mirassol's last three matches: Mirassol 2-2 Santos on March 11, 2026, Mirassol 1-2 Portuguesa on February 15, 2026, Mirassol 2-2 Cruzeiro on February 11, 2026. The last head-to-head meeting between these teams was on January 17, 2026, ending in a 1-0 victory for Palmeiras.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, both teams have shown a strong over-profile: Palmeiras had 4 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals, and Mirassol similarly had 4 out of 5 over 2.5. The average number of goals in Palmeiras' matches is 2.6, while Mirassol's is 3.2. Palmeiras scores an average of 1.6, and Mirassol 1.4, with Mirassol conceding 1.8 per game, indicating a high likelihood of goals from both sides. By halves, Palmeiras had 3 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Mirassol had 3 out of 5 for over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. Goal intervals show Palmeiras often scores in the first 15 minutes (38%) and concedes between 31-45 minutes (50%). Mirassol scores most frequently at the end of the first half (31-45 minutes, 38%) and concedes mainly towards the end of the match (76-90 minutes, 63%). All this supports the bet on over 2.5 goals, given both teams' consistent scoring and frequent overs in their matches.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In the last 5 matches, Palmeiras averages 3 corners, while Mirassol averages 5.8. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Palmeiras had 2 out of 5 games, and Mirassol 1 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are at 1.44, and under 9.5 at 2.46. Palmeiras is favored in terms of corner outcome with odds of 1.36. Considering Mirassol consistently delivers a high number of corners, while Palmeiras does less, it makes sense to consider over 9.5 corners, but with caution as it hasn't happened frequently. Also, individual corner stats for Mirassol, where their average is noticeably higher, are worth noting.