Prediction for match Palmeiras — Santos, 07.11.2025

Who is the favorite in the Palmeiras vs Santos match?

On November 7, a Serie A match will take place between Palmeiras and Santos. Analysts give Palmeiras a 1.44 odds to win, while a draw is at 4.33, and a Santos victory is at 7.50. According to the probability distribution, Palmeiras has a 65.59% chance, a draw is 21.81%, and Santos has a 12.59% chance. This distribution indicates a significant advantage for one team in the current matchup, but it does not rule out a tough battle.

Team statistics and scores

In the last five matches, Palmeiras has an average possession of 51.6%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. Santos shows 56% possession, 3 yellows, 15 fouls, and 1 offside on average per match. Palmeiras' last three games: 02.11.2025 - Juventude vs Palmeiras 0-2, 31.10.2025 - Palmeiras vs LDU Quito 4-0, 26.10.2025 - Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro 0-0. For Santos: 26.10.2025 - Botafogo vs Santos 2-2, 21.10.2025 - Santos vs Vitória 0-1, 16.10.2025 - Santos vs Corinthians 3-1. In the last head-to-head on 08.10.2023, Palmeiras lost to Santos 1-2, with the total over 2.5 goals hitting.

Goals by match statistics

In the last 5 matches, both teams have seen the total over 2.5 goals hit 3 times, and under 2 twice. In the first half, Palmeiras recorded over 1.5 goals three times, Santos twice; in the second half, Palmeiras has only one over 1.5, while Santos has three. The average scoring metrics are equal: both teams participate in matches with 2.8 goals, Palmeiras scores 1.6, concedes 1.2, Santos - 1.2 and 1.6 respectively. For goal intervals: Palmeiras most often scores between the 31st and 45th minute (40%), Santos - between the 0th and 15th minute (33%). The most frequent interval for goals conceded by Palmeiras is the 16th-30th minute (50%), and for Santos, it's the 46th-60th minute (40%). Considering the equal averages in totals, the frequency of the over 2.5 hitting, and the scoring intervals, it makes sense to expect at least three goals and take the total over 2.5.

How many corners will there be?

Palmeiras averages 5 corners in the last five matches, Santos - 6.2. The frequency of the total over 9.5 corners hitting in 5 games is 2 times for both teams. The odds for the total over 9.5 corners are 1.73, under 9.5 - 2.00. You can also bet on the total over 10 corners at 1.95, under - 1.85. For the outcome of corners, Palmeiras is the favorite with odds of 1.22. Based on the average corner activity and the frequency of total hits, a bet on the total over 9.5 corners seems justified. Sportwars.net prediction for the Palmeiras vs Santos match, 2025-11-07 - Over 2.5 goals, odds 1.85. Correct score: 2:1, odds 8.50.