Tips for match Palmeiras — Vitoria, 19.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Serie A match between Palmeiras and Vitoria will take place on November 19, 2025. Bookmakers have made Palmeiras the favorite with odds of 1.25 for a win and a probability of 76.19%. A draw is set at odds of 6.00 with a probability of 15.87%, while a victory for Vitoria is at 12.00, corresponding to 7.94%. This gap in odds highlights Palmeiras' clear advantage in this encounter. For the main 1X2 outcome options, the choice is clear - Palmeiras stands out as the main contender for victory, while a draw and a Vitoria win are considered unlikely events.

Team Results and Statistics

Palmeiras, in their last five matches, shows good ball possession at 51.4%, averages 1.6 yellow cards, commits 12.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Vitoria, over the same period, holds possession 41.6% of the time, receives 3.6 yellows, commits 16 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times. In their last three matches, Palmeiras lost to Santos 0-1 (16.11), lost to Mirassol 1-2 (09.11), and defeated Santos 2-0 (07.11). Vitoria drew with Botafogo 0-0 (09.11), won against Internacional 1-0 (05.11), and lost to Cruzeiro 1-3 (01.11). In their head-to-head on August 3, 2025, Vitoria and Palmeiras drew 2-2, with the total over 2.5 goals coming through. This result highlights that even as favorites, Palmeiras does not always achieve easy victories.

Goal Statistics

In their last five games, Palmeiras had over 2.5 goals in 2 matches and under in 3. Vitoria had over 2.5 goals in only 1 out of 5 matches, with the rest being low-scoring. In the first half, Palmeiras had over 1.5 goals in two out of five, while Vitoria had only one match over that mark. In the second half, Palmeiras also had 2 matches over 1.5 goals, while Vitoria had none. On average, Palmeiras scores 1.8 and concedes 0.6 goals per game, while Vitoria scores only 0.6 and concedes 0.8. Palmeiras most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (33%), while Vitoria spreads their goals across four different periods, not exceeding 25% in any. In terms of goals conceded, Palmeiras most often allows goals between the 16th and 30th minutes (67%), and Vitoria between the 31st and 45th minutes (67%). Given Vitoria's low scoring and the low frequency of over 2.5 totals for both sides, it's logical to consider the option of BTTS: No. This choice is further supported by Vitoria's average goal-scoring figures and low second-half effectiveness - 0 matches over 1.5. Palmeiras boasts a solid defense and is not prone to frequent concessions.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Palmeiras averages 6 corners per game, while Vitoria averages 4.2. In their last five matches, Palmeiras exceeded the over 9.5 corners total three times, while Vitoria did so twice. The odds for over 9.5 corners are set at 1.83, and under 9.5 is also at 1.83. In terms of corners, the favorite is Palmeiras with odds of 1.20. These figures indicate that Palmeiras consistently creates opportunities and earns more set-pieces than Vitoria. It's logical to consider betting on Palmeiras' individual corner total over 6.5 or the overall total over 9.5, given the frequency of such outcomes in recent matches. Vitoria lags in set-pieces, but occasionally shows activity - two over 9.5 matches in 5 games.