Prediction for match Paris FC — Lens, 14.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Ligue 1 match on 14.02.2026, Paris FC will face Lens. According to the 1X2 odds, Lens is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.95, with a 50.46% chance of success. A draw is at 3.80, corresponding to a 25.89% probability. Paris FC's win is at 4.16, with a 23.65% chance. This setup reflects Lens's attacking advantage, which is also confirmed by their recent scoring statistics. The line also includes options for totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, but bookmakers focus mainly on Lens's advantage.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Paris FC has an average possession percentage of 53.8, with 2.4 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Lens shows 51.8% possession, 2.6 warnings, 15.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Paris FC played as follows: 08.02.2026 Auxerre - Paris FC 0-0, 04.02.2026 Lorient - Paris FC 2-0, 31.01.2026 Paris FC - Marseille 2-2. Lens's last three games: 07.02.2026 Lens - Rennes 3-1, 04.02.2026 Troyes - Lens 2-4, 30.01.2026 Lens - Le Havre 1-0. In their head-to-head on 19.10.2025, Lens defeated Paris FC 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Paris FC has an average total of 1.8 goals in their last five matches, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1 goal per game. Lens has higher figures: an average of 3.2 goals, scoring 2 and conceding 1.2. Paris FC has gone over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Lens has done so in 3 out of 5. In the first half, Paris FC hasn't gone over 1.5, but in the second half, they have in 3 out of 5. Lens has gone over 1.5 in the first half in 3 out of 5, and also in 3 out of 5 in the second half. Paris FC most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (60%), while they concede evenly across quarters, 25% in each interval. Lens most often scores between the 31st-45th and 61st-75th minutes (30% each), while they mainly concede between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%). Considering Lens's attacking profile, their consistent scoring, and Paris FC's relatively weak attack, it's logical to consider over 2.5 goals at 1.91 as the main prediction for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Paris FC averages 3.2 corners per match, Lens - 3.8. In the last five matches, Paris FC has gone over 9.5 corners 2 out of 5 times, Lens - 1 out of 5. Looking at the odds, over 9.5 corners is at 2.03, as is under 9.5. Lens is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.76. Statistically, neither team excels in corner productivity, so a moderate corner total seems justified. In this match, it's reasonable to expect around 7-9 corners, considering both teams' averages and the absence of a strong corner profile.